Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Erzurumspor FK vs Sivasspor

Erzurumspor FK vs Sivasspor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2025-08-09 16:00
Erzurumspor FK
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
52%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Sivasspor
Away

Prediction Summary

1
66%
X
20%
2
13%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS No
54%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Erzurumspor FK (Home)

Goals scored / match2.68
Goals conceded / match0.63
Over 2.5 rate37%
BTTS rate47%

Sivasspor (Away)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.28
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate56%

Team Form last 5 matches

Erzurumspor FK
DDDWW
Sivasspor
LWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 67%
68% +1.5 22%
37% +2.5 0%
26% +3.5 0%
11% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 56%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Medium.

Erzurumspor FK averages 2.68 goals scored at home, while Sivasspor averages 0.89 goals scored away.

Model Strength
66%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
66%
Draw
20%
Away Win
13%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
46%

Head-to-Head last 4

Jan 2026 Erzurumspor FK(A) 2 - 0 Sivasspor Home
Aug 2025 Erzurumspor FK 2 - 0 Sivasspor Home
Feb 2021 Erzurumspor FK(A) 0 - 0 Sivasspor Draw
Sep 2020 Erzurumspor FK 1 - 2 Sivasspor Away

In the last 4 meetings, Erzurumspor FK won 2, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Erzurumspor FK — unbeaten run (home)19
Erzurumspor FK — scoring streak (home)19
Sivasspor — winless run (away)2
Sivasspor — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Erzurumspor FK Win (1)66%
Draw (X)20%
Sivasspor Win (2)13%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 67%
68% +1.5 22%
37% +2.5 0%
26% +3.5 0%
11% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 33%
32% -1.5 78%
63% -2.5 100%
74% -3.5 100%
89% -4.5 100%

Erzurumspor FK vs Sivasspor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Erzurumspor FK — scored (home)2.68
Erzurumspor FK — conceded (home)0.63
Sivasspor — scored (away)0.89
Sivasspor — conceded (away)1.28
Model expected combined goals2.74

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%
No54%

Rate per Team

Erzurumspor FK — BTTS matches (home)47%
Sivasspor — BTTS matches (away)56%
Combined (simple average)51.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.589%
Under 4.511%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.578%
Under 6.522%
Over 7.573%
Under 7.527%
Over 8.546%
Under 8.554%
Over 9.541%
Under 9.559%
Over 10.530%
Under 10.570%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Erzurumspor FK (home)

Corners for5.2
Corners against3.2

Sivasspor (away)

Corners for4.0
Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Erzurumspor FK
4 8 7 9 10
Sivasspor
2 19 12 9 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.582%
Under 1.518%
Over 2.563%
Under 2.537%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Erzurumspor FK (home)

For1.8

Sivasspor (away)

For1.9

Shots per Game

Erzurumspor FK — total shots (home)14.2
Sivasspor — total shots (away)10.3

Shots on Target

Erzurumspor FK — on target (home)5.7
Sivasspor — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Erzurumspor FK

Inside the box8.5
Outside the box3.74

Sivasspor

Inside the box6.76
Outside the box4.86

Player Shots Erzurumspor FK

E. Tozlu
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target35%
Burak Böyüksünnetci
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target11%
A. Kabak
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target4%
M. Yumlu
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target16%
+1.5 On Target6%
M. Fettahoğlu
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target14%

Player Shots Sivasspor

Luan Campos
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target11%
R. Manaj
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target43%
T. Böke
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target11%
V. Ethemi
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target17%
K. Fidan
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target15%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Erzurumspor FK xG (home)1.76
Sivasspor xG (away)1.25

Average Possession

55.5% Possession 50.24%

Team Comparison Erzurumspor FK vs Sivasspor

85.16% Pass accuracy 79.59%
469.89 Passes per match 374.54
0 Goals prevented 0
10.71 Fouls committed 11.57
2 Goalkeeper saves 2.36
2.17 Offsides 2.68
13.39 Tackles per match 14.32

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Erzurumspor FK vs Sivasspor prediction analysis

Review Erzurumspor FK vs Sivasspor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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