What markets are included in the Erzurumspor FK vs Vanspor FK prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Erzurumspor FK vs Vanspor FK prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Erzurumspor FK vs Vanspor FK

Erzurumspor FK vs Vanspor FK prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

1. Lig 2025-10-04 13:00

Erzurumspor FK

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

42%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Vanspor FK

Away

Prediction Summary

45%

27%

Under 2.5

58%

BTTS No

53%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Erzurumspor FK (Home)

Goals scored / match2.68

Goals conceded / match0.63

Over 2.5 rate37%

BTTS rate47%

Vanspor FK (Away)

Goals scored / match1.42

Goals conceded / match1.53

Over 2.5 rate26%

BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Erzurumspor FK

DDDWW

Vanspor FK

LLWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 63%

68% +1.5 32%

37% +2.5 26%

26% +3.5 11%

11% +4.5 5%

47% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 42%. Model confidence is Medium.

Erzurumspor FK averages 2.68 goals scored at home, while Vanspor FK averages 1.42 goals scored away.

Model Strength

58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

45%

Draw

27%

Away Win

27%

Over 2.5

42%

BTTS Yes

47%

Head-to-Head last 2

Feb 2026 Erzurumspor FK(A) 3 - 0 Vanspor FK Home

Oct 2025 Erzurumspor FK 1 - 1 Vanspor FK Draw

In the last 2 meetings, Erzurumspor FK won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Erzurumspor FK — unbeaten run (home)19

Erzurumspor FK — scoring streak (home)19

Vanspor FK — winless run (away)1

Vanspor FK — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Erzurumspor FK Win (1)45%

Draw (X)27%

Vanspor FK Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 63%

68% +1.5 32%

37% +2.5 26%

26% +3.5 11%

11% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 37%

32% -1.5 68%

63% -2.5 74%

74% -3.5 89%

89% -4.5 95%

Erzurumspor FK vs Vanspor FK — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Erzurumspor FK — scored (home)2.68

Erzurumspor FK — conceded (home)0.63

Vanspor FK — scored (away)1.42

Vanspor FK — conceded (away)1.53

Model expected combined goals2.38

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%

No53%

Rate per Team

Erzurumspor FK — BTTS matches (home)47%

Vanspor FK — BTTS matches (away)63%

Combined (simple average)55%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.590%

Under 5.510%

Over 6.576%

Under 6.524%

Over 7.561%

Under 7.539%

Over 8.537%

Under 8.563%

Over 9.529%

Under 9.571%

Over 10.516%

Under 10.584%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Erzurumspor FK (home)

Corners for5.2

Corners against3.2

Vanspor FK (away)

Corners for2.9

Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Erzurumspor FK

4 8 7 9 10

Vanspor FK

12 8 7 11 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%

Under 0.55%

Over 1.585%

Under 1.515%

Over 2.574%

Under 2.526%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Erzurumspor FK (home)

For1.8

Vanspor FK (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

Erzurumspor FK — total shots (home)14.2

Vanspor FK — total shots (away)10.5

Shots on Target

Erzurumspor FK — on target (home)5.7

Vanspor FK — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Erzurumspor FK

Inside the box8.5

Outside the box3.74

Vanspor FK

Inside the box6.95

Outside the box4.76

Player Shots Erzurumspor FK

E. Tozlu

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target73%

+1.5 On Target35%

Burak Böyüksünnetci

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target11%

A. Kabak

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target7%

+1.5 On Target4%

M. Yumlu

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target16%

+1.5 On Target6%

M. Fettahoğlu

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target14%

Player Shots Vanspor FK

Muhammed Çoksu

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target50%

Iván Cédric

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target70%

+1.5 On Target33%

S. Hostikka

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target21%

H. Bilal

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target9%

Sabahattin Destici

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target7%

+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Erzurumspor FK xG (home)1.76

Vanspor FK xG (away)1.24

Average Possession

55.5% Possession 54.89%

Team Comparison Erzurumspor FK vs Vanspor FK

85.16% Pass accuracy 79.58%

469.89 Passes per match 397.71

0 Goals prevented 0

10.71 Fouls committed 14.92

2 Goalkeeper saves 2.89

2.17 Offsides 2

13.39 Tackles per match 15.05

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Erzurumspor FK vs Vanspor FK prediction analysis

Review Erzurumspor FK vs Vanspor FK with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights