Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Esenler Erokspor vs Çorum FK

Esenler Erokspor vs Çorum FK prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2025-11-03 17:00
Esenler Erokspor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
74%
Confidence
High
Score
2-1
Çorum FK
Away

Prediction Summary

1
49%
X
21%
2
30%
Over 2.5
74%
BTTS Yes
72%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Esenler Erokspor (Home)

Goals scored / match1.95
Goals conceded / match0.95
Over 2.5 rate30%
BTTS rate60%

Çorum FK (Away)

Goals scored / match1.48
Goals conceded / match1.24
Over 2.5 rate19%
BTTS rate52%

Team Form last 5 matches

Esenler Erokspor
LDLWW
Çorum FK
WWLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

85% +0.5 76%
50% +1.5 43%
30% +2.5 19%
20% +3.5 10%
10% +4.5 0%
60% BTTS 52%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 74%. Model confidence is High.

Esenler Erokspor averages 1.95 goals scored at home, while Çorum FK averages 1.48 goals scored away.

Model Strength
74%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
49%
Draw
21%
Away Win
30%
Over 2.5
74%
BTTS Yes
72%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Esenler Erokspor 0 - 2 Çorum FK Away
Mar 2026 Esenler Erokspor(A) 1 - 2 Çorum FK Away
Nov 2025 Esenler Erokspor 3 - 1 Çorum FK Home
Apr 2025 Esenler Erokspor(A) 3 - 3 Çorum FK Draw
Nov 2024 Esenler Erokspor 2 - 2 Çorum FK Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Esenler Erokspor won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Esenler Erokspor — unbeaten run (home)0
Esenler Erokspor — scoring streak (home)0
Çorum FK — winless run (away)0
Çorum FK — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Esenler Erokspor Win (1)49%
Draw (X)21%
Çorum FK Win (2)30%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

85% +0.5 76%
50% +1.5 43%
30% +2.5 19%
20% +3.5 10%
10% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

15% -0.5 24%
50% -1.5 57%
70% -2.5 81%
80% -3.5 90%
90% -4.5 100%

Esenler Erokspor vs Çorum FK — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Esenler Erokspor — scored (home)1.95
Esenler Erokspor — conceded (home)0.95
Çorum FK — scored (away)1.48
Çorum FK — conceded (away)1.24
Model expected combined goals3.87

Both Teams To Score

Yes72%
No28%

Rate per Team

Esenler Erokspor — BTTS matches (home)60%
Çorum FK — BTTS matches (away)52%
Combined (simple average)56%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.593%
Under 4.57%
Over 5.586%
Under 5.514%
Over 6.581%
Under 6.519%
Over 7.566%
Under 7.534%
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.539%
Under 9.561%
Over 10.522%
Under 10.578%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Esenler Erokspor (home)

Corners for5.5
Corners against3.6

Çorum FK (away)

Corners for5.6
Corners against3.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Esenler Erokspor
8 10 11 7 10
Çorum FK
10 10 8 17 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.586%
Under 2.514%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Esenler Erokspor (home)

For1.8

Çorum FK (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Esenler Erokspor — total shots (home)12.9
Çorum FK — total shots (away)12.6

Shots on Target

Esenler Erokspor — on target (home)4.8
Çorum FK — on target (away)4.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Esenler Erokspor

Inside the box8.54
Outside the box4.15

Çorum FK

Inside the box8.9
Outside the box4.83

Player Shots Esenler Erokspor

O. Kayode
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target26%
Ö. Beyaz
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target11%
R. Jack
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target4%
E. Gedik
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target11%
G. Kanga
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Çorum FK

Y. Erdoğan
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%
Pedrinho
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target15%
+1.5 On Target8%
B. Samudio
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Eze
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target21%
M. Thiam
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target21%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Esenler Erokspor xG (home)1.6
Çorum FK xG (away)1.83

Average Possession

57.9% Possession 59.1%

Team Comparison Esenler Erokspor vs Çorum FK

83.72% Pass accuracy 83.48%
464.79 Passes per match 467.05
0 Goals prevented 0
10.67 Fouls committed 12.31
1.64 Goalkeeper saves 1.79
1.95 Offsides 2.48
13.03 Tackles per match 14.5

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Esenler Erokspor vs Çorum FK prediction analysis

Review Esenler Erokspor vs Çorum FK with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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