Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Esenler Erokspor vs Iğdır FK

Esenler Erokspor vs Iğdır FK prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
1. Lig 2025-09-27 13:00
Esenler Erokspor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
72%
Confidence
High
Score
2-1
Iğdır FK
Away

Prediction Summary

1
72%
X
16%
2
12%
Over 2.5
72%
BTTS Yes
60%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Esenler Erokspor (Home)

Goals scored / match1.95
Goals conceded / match0.95
Over 2.5 rate30%
BTTS rate60%

Iğdır FK (Away)

Goals scored / match1.37
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Esenler Erokspor
LDLWW
Iğdır FK
DLDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

85% +0.5 68%
50% +1.5 37%
30% +2.5 16%
20% +3.5 5%
10% +4.5 5%
60% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 72%. Model confidence is High.

Esenler Erokspor averages 1.95 goals scored at home, while Iğdır FK averages 1.37 goals scored away.

Model Strength
72%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
72%
Draw
16%
Away Win
12%
Over 2.5
72%
BTTS Yes
60%

Head-to-Head last 4

Feb 2026 Esenler Erokspor(A) 3 - 0 Iğdır FK Home
Sep 2025 Esenler Erokspor 2 - 3 Iğdır FK Away
Feb 2025 Esenler Erokspor 3 - 1 Iğdır FK Home
Sep 2024 Esenler Erokspor(A) 2 - 1 Iğdır FK Home

In the last 4 meetings, Esenler Erokspor won 3, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Esenler Erokspor — unbeaten run (home)0
Esenler Erokspor — scoring streak (home)0
Iğdır FK — winless run (away)1
Iğdır FK — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Esenler Erokspor Win (1)72%
Draw (X)16%
Iğdır FK Win (2)12%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

85% +0.5 68%
50% +1.5 37%
30% +2.5 16%
20% +3.5 5%
10% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

15% -0.5 32%
50% -1.5 63%
70% -2.5 84%
80% -3.5 95%
90% -4.5 95%

Esenler Erokspor vs Iğdır FK — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Esenler Erokspor — scored (home)1.95
Esenler Erokspor — conceded (home)0.95
Iğdır FK — scored (away)1.37
Iğdır FK — conceded (away)1.53
Model expected combined goals3.71

Both Teams To Score

Yes60%
No40%

Rate per Team

Esenler Erokspor — BTTS matches (home)60%
Iğdır FK — BTTS matches (away)58%
Combined (simple average)59%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.585%
Under 5.515%
Over 6.572%
Under 6.528%
Over 7.554%
Under 7.546%
Over 8.544%
Under 8.556%
Over 9.533%
Under 9.567%
Over 10.523%
Under 10.577%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Esenler Erokspor (home)

Corners for5.5
Corners against3.6

Iğdır FK (away)

Corners for4.7
Corners against3.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Esenler Erokspor
8 10 11 7 10
Iğdır FK
5 5 11 9 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Esenler Erokspor (home)

For1.8

Iğdır FK (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Esenler Erokspor — total shots (home)12.9
Iğdır FK — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

Esenler Erokspor — on target (home)4.8
Iğdır FK — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Esenler Erokspor

Inside the box8.54
Outside the box4.15

Iğdır FK

Inside the box7.47
Outside the box3.89

Player Shots Esenler Erokspor

O. Kayode
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target26%
Ö. Beyaz
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target11%
R. Jack
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target4%
E. Gedik
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target11%
G. Kanga
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Iğdır FK

Ryan Mendes
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target17%
G. Bruno
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target28%
F. Loshaj
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target15%
F. Koita
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target7%
M. Fofana
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target15%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Esenler Erokspor xG (home)1.6
Iğdır FK xG (away)1.75

Average Possession

57.9% Possession 56.45%

Team Comparison Esenler Erokspor vs Iğdır FK

83.72% Pass accuracy 81.32%
464.79 Passes per match 435.74
0 Goals prevented 0
10.67 Fouls committed 12
1.64 Goalkeeper saves 2.73
1.95 Offsides 3.16
13.03 Tackles per match 13.63

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Esenler Erokspor vs Iğdır FK prediction analysis

Review Esenler Erokspor vs Iğdır FK with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top