What markets are included in the Esenler Erokspor vs Sakaryaspor prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Esenler Erokspor vs Sakaryaspor prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Esenler Erokspor vs Sakaryaspor

Esenler Erokspor vs Sakaryaspor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2025-12-06 16:00

Esenler Erokspor

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

78%

Confidence

High

Score

2-1

Sakaryaspor

Away

Prediction Summary

57%

19%

24%

Over 2.5

78%

BTTS Yes

74%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Esenler Erokspor (Home)

Goals scored / match1.95

Goals conceded / match0.95

Over 2.5 rate30%

BTTS rate60%

Sakaryaspor (Away)

Goals scored / match1.16

Goals conceded / match2.16

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Esenler Erokspor

LDLWW

Sakaryaspor

LLDLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

85% +0.5 68%

50% +1.5 21%

30% +2.5 11%

20% +3.5 5%

10% +4.5 5%

60% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 78%. Model confidence is High.

Esenler Erokspor averages 1.95 goals scored at home, while Sakaryaspor averages 1.16 goals scored away.

Model Strength

78%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

57%

Draw

19%

Away Win

24%

Over 2.5

78%

BTTS Yes

74%

Head-to-Head last 4

Apr 2026 Esenler Erokspor(A) 2 - 1 Sakaryaspor Home

Dec 2025 Esenler Erokspor 4 - 1 Sakaryaspor Home

May 2025 Esenler Erokspor(A) 0 - 2 Sakaryaspor Away

Jan 2025 Esenler Erokspor 1 - 1 Sakaryaspor Draw

In the last 4 meetings, Esenler Erokspor won 2, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Esenler Erokspor — unbeaten run (home)0

Esenler Erokspor — scoring streak (home)0

Sakaryaspor — winless run (away)13

Sakaryaspor — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Esenler Erokspor Win (1)57%

Draw (X)19%

Sakaryaspor Win (2)24%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

85% +0.5 68%

50% +1.5 21%

30% +2.5 11%

20% +3.5 5%

10% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

15% -0.5 32%

50% -1.5 79%

70% -2.5 89%

80% -3.5 95%

90% -4.5 95%

Esenler Erokspor vs Sakaryaspor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Esenler Erokspor — scored (home)1.95

Esenler Erokspor — conceded (home)0.95

Sakaryaspor — scored (away)1.16

Sakaryaspor — conceded (away)2.16

Model expected combined goals4.13

Both Teams To Score

Yes74%

No26%

Rate per Team

Esenler Erokspor — BTTS matches (home)60%

Sakaryaspor — BTTS matches (away)63%

Combined (simple average)61.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.590%

Under 5.510%

Over 6.582%

Under 6.518%

Over 7.570%

Under 7.530%

Over 8.557%

Under 8.543%

Over 9.539%

Under 9.561%

Over 10.531%

Under 10.569%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Esenler Erokspor (home)

Corners for5.5

Corners against3.6

Sakaryaspor (away)

Corners for3.9

Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Esenler Erokspor

8 10 11 7 10

Sakaryaspor

8 8 4 7 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%

Under 0.55%

Over 1.587%

Under 1.513%

Over 2.582%

Under 2.518%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Esenler Erokspor (home)

For1.8

Sakaryaspor (away)

For2.9

Shots per Game

Esenler Erokspor — total shots (home)12.9

Sakaryaspor — total shots (away)9.8

Shots on Target

Esenler Erokspor — on target (home)4.8

Sakaryaspor — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Esenler Erokspor

Inside the box8.54

Outside the box4.15

Sakaryaspor

Inside the box7.03

Outside the box3.7

Player Shots Esenler Erokspor

O. Kayode

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target26%

Ö. Beyaz

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target26%

+1.5 On Target11%

R. Jack

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target7%

+1.5 On Target4%

E. Gedik

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target11%

G. Kanga

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Sakaryaspor

Haydar Karataş

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target14%

W. Ben Yedder

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target31%

+1.5 On Target15%

G. Kakuta

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target21%

Ł. Zwoliński

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target13%

M. Demir

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Esenler Erokspor xG (home)1.6

Sakaryaspor xG (away)1.04

Average Possession

57.9% Possession 46.95%

Team Comparison Esenler Erokspor vs Sakaryaspor

83.72% Pass accuracy 77.95%

464.79 Passes per match 366.19

0 Goals prevented 0

10.67 Fouls committed 12.35

1.64 Goalkeeper saves 3.97

1.95 Offsides 1.95

13.03 Tackles per match 13.54

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Esenler Erokspor vs Sakaryaspor prediction analysis

Review Esenler Erokspor vs Sakaryaspor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights