Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Esenler Erokspor vs Sarıyer

Esenler Erokspor vs Sarıyer prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2026-08-16 16:00
Esenler Erokspor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
48%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Sarıyer
Away

Prediction Summary

1
57%
X
24%
2
20%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS No
51%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Esenler Erokspor (Home)

Goals scored / match1.95
Goals conceded / match0.95
Over 2.5 rate30%
BTTS rate60%

Sarıyer (Away)

Goals scored / match0.84
Goals conceded / match1.47
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate32%

Team Form last 5 matches

Esenler Erokspor
LDLWW
Sarıyer
WWLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

85% +0.5 47%
50% +1.5 21%
30% +2.5 16%
20% +3.5 0%
10% +4.5 0%
60% BTTS 32%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Medium.

Esenler Erokspor averages 1.95 goals scored at home, while Sarıyer averages 0.84 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
57%
Draw
24%
Away Win
20%
Over 2.5
48%
BTTS Yes
49%

Head-to-Head last 2

Apr 2026 Esenler Erokspor(A) 0 - 1 Sarıyer Away
Dec 2025 Esenler Erokspor 1 - 1 Sarıyer Draw

In the last 2 meetings, Esenler Erokspor won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Esenler Erokspor — unbeaten run (home)0
Esenler Erokspor — scoring streak (home)0
Sarıyer — winless run (away)0
Sarıyer — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Esenler Erokspor Win (1)57%
Draw (X)24%
Sarıyer Win (2)20%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

85% +0.5 47%
50% +1.5 21%
30% +2.5 16%
20% +3.5 0%
10% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

15% -0.5 53%
50% -1.5 79%
70% -2.5 84%
80% -3.5 100%
90% -4.5 100%

Esenler Erokspor vs Sarıyer — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Esenler Erokspor — scored (home)1.95
Esenler Erokspor — conceded (home)0.95
Sarıyer — scored (away)0.84
Sarıyer — conceded (away)1.47
Model expected combined goals2.61

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%
No51%

Rate per Team

Esenler Erokspor — BTTS matches (home)60%
Sarıyer — BTTS matches (away)32%
Combined (simple average)46%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.548%
Under 8.552%
Over 9.538%
Under 9.562%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (model prediction)8.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Esenler Erokspor (home)

Corners for5.5
Corners against3.6

Sarıyer (away)

Corners for4.1
Corners against4.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Esenler Erokspor
8 10 11 7 10
Sarıyer
5 7 6 11 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Esenler Erokspor (home)

For1.8

Sarıyer (away)

For2.2

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.557%
Under 19.543%
Over 22.543%
Under 22.557%
Over 25.530%
Under 25.570%
Expected total shots21.86

Esenler Erokspor

Shots Over 9.567%
Shots Over 11.552%
Shots Over 13.537%
Expected shots12.33
On Target Over 3.560%
On Target Over 4.545%
On Target Over 5.532%
Expected on target4.55

Sarıyer

Shots Over 9.546%
Shots Over 11.529%
Shots Over 13.518%
Expected shots9.53
On Target Over 3.542%
On Target Over 4.527%
On Target Over 5.517%
Expected on target3.39

Shots per Game

Esenler Erokspor — total shots (home)12.9
Sarıyer — total shots (away)11.0

Shots on Target

Esenler Erokspor — on target (home)4.8
Sarıyer — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Esenler Erokspor

Inside the box8.54
Outside the box4.15

Sarıyer

Inside the box6.84
Outside the box4.68

Player Shots Esenler Erokspor

O. Kayode
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target26%
Ö. Beyaz
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target11%
R. Jack
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target4%
E. Gedik
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target11%
G. Kanga
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Sarıyer

A. Urie
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
O. Sol
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target8%
+1.5 On Target8%
E. Kulašin
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Dembélé
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target24%
E. Eze
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target19%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Esenler Erokspor xG (home)1.6
Sarıyer xG (away)1.15

Average Possession

57.9% Possession 47.79%

Team Comparison Esenler Erokspor vs Sarıyer

83.72% Pass accuracy 80.71%
464.79 Passes per match 384.29
0 Goals prevented 0
10.67 Fouls committed 11.08
1.64 Goalkeeper saves 2.53
1.95 Offsides 2.4
13.03 Tackles per match 12.89

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Esenler Erokspor vs Sarıyer prediction analysis

Review Esenler Erokspor vs Sarıyer with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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