Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Esenler Erokspor vs Sivasspor

Esenler Erokspor vs Sivasspor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2025-11-23 16:00
Esenler Erokspor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
61%
Confidence
High
Score
2-0
Sivasspor
Away

Prediction Summary

1
71%
X
17%
2
12%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Esenler Erokspor (Home)

Goals scored / match1.95
Goals conceded / match0.95
Over 2.5 rate30%
BTTS rate60%

Sivasspor (Away)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.28
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate56%

Team Form last 5 matches

Esenler Erokspor
LDLWW
Sivasspor
LWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

85% +0.5 67%
50% +1.5 22%
30% +2.5 0%
20% +3.5 0%
10% +4.5 0%
60% BTTS 56%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 61%. Model confidence is High.

Esenler Erokspor averages 1.95 goals scored at home, while Sivasspor averages 0.89 goals scored away.

Model Strength
71%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
71%
Draw
17%
Away Win
12%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Esenler Erokspor(A) 3 - 1 Sivasspor Home
Nov 2025 Esenler Erokspor 2 - 1 Sivasspor Home
Dec 2022 Esenler Erokspor(A) 2 - 5 Sivasspor Away
Dec 2019 Esenler Erokspor(A) 1 - 0 Sivasspor Home
Dec 2019 Esenler Erokspor 0 - 2 Sivasspor Away

In the last 5 meetings, Esenler Erokspor won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Esenler Erokspor — unbeaten run (home)0
Esenler Erokspor — scoring streak (home)0
Sivasspor — winless run (away)2
Sivasspor — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Esenler Erokspor Win (1)71%
Draw (X)17%
Sivasspor Win (2)12%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

85% +0.5 67%
50% +1.5 22%
30% +2.5 0%
20% +3.5 0%
10% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

15% -0.5 33%
50% -1.5 78%
70% -2.5 100%
80% -3.5 100%
90% -4.5 100%

Esenler Erokspor vs Sivasspor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Esenler Erokspor — scored (home)1.95
Esenler Erokspor — conceded (home)0.95
Sivasspor — scored (away)0.89
Sivasspor — conceded (away)1.28
Model expected combined goals3.14

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

Esenler Erokspor — BTTS matches (home)60%
Sivasspor — BTTS matches (away)56%
Combined (simple average)58%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.582%
Under 5.518%
Over 6.576%
Under 6.524%
Over 7.566%
Under 7.534%
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Esenler Erokspor (home)

Corners for5.5
Corners against3.6

Sivasspor (away)

Corners for4.0
Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Esenler Erokspor
8 10 11 7 10
Sivasspor
2 19 12 9 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.576%
Under 2.524%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Esenler Erokspor (home)

For1.8

Sivasspor (away)

For1.9

Shots per Game

Esenler Erokspor — total shots (home)12.9
Sivasspor — total shots (away)10.3

Shots on Target

Esenler Erokspor — on target (home)4.8
Sivasspor — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Esenler Erokspor

Inside the box8.54
Outside the box4.15

Sivasspor

Inside the box6.76
Outside the box4.86

Player Shots Esenler Erokspor

O. Kayode
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target26%
Ö. Beyaz
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target11%
R. Jack
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target4%
E. Gedik
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target11%
G. Kanga
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Sivasspor

Luan Campos
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target11%
R. Manaj
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target43%
T. Böke
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target11%
V. Ethemi
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target17%
K. Fidan
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target15%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Esenler Erokspor xG (home)1.6
Sivasspor xG (away)1.25

Average Possession

57.9% Possession 50.24%

Team Comparison Esenler Erokspor vs Sivasspor

83.72% Pass accuracy 79.59%
464.79 Passes per match 374.54
0 Goals prevented 0
10.67 Fouls committed 11.57
1.64 Goalkeeper saves 2.36
1.95 Offsides 2.68
13.03 Tackles per match 14.32

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Esenler Erokspor vs Sivasspor prediction analysis

Review Esenler Erokspor vs Sivasspor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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