Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Espanyol vs Levante

Espanyol vs Levante prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2026-08-16 17:00
Espanyol
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
53%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Levante
Away

Prediction Summary

1
42%
X
26%
2
31%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Espanyol (Home)

Goals scored / match1.11
Goals conceded / match1.26
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate53%

Levante (Away)

Goals scored / match1.11
Goals conceded / match1.74
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Espanyol
DWWLL
Levante
LWWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 63%
32% +1.5 26%
5% +2.5 16%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Low.

Espanyol averages 1.11 goals scored at home, while Levante averages 1.11 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
42%
Draw
26%
Away Win
31%
Over 2.5
48%
BTTS Yes
53%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Espanyol 0 - 0 Levante Draw
Jan 2026 Espanyol(A) 1 - 1 Levante Draw
Feb 2024 Espanyol 2 - 1 Levante Home
Sep 2023 Espanyol(A) 4 - 1 Levante Home
Mar 2022 Espanyol(A) 1 - 1 Levante Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Espanyol won 2, drew 3 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Espanyol — unbeaten run (home)2
Espanyol — scoring streak (home)2
Levante — winless run (away)1
Levante — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Espanyol Win (1)42%
Draw (X)26%
Levante Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 63%
32% +1.5 26%
5% +2.5 16%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 37%
68% -1.5 74%
95% -2.5 84%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Espanyol vs Levante — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Espanyol — scored (home)1.11
Espanyol — conceded (home)1.26
Levante — scored (away)1.11
Levante — conceded (away)1.74
Model expected combined goals2.61

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%
No47%

Rate per Team

Espanyol — BTTS matches (home)53%
Levante — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Espanyol (home)

Corners for5.2
Corners against4.7

Levante (away)

Corners for3.3
Corners against7.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Espanyol
11 10 17 11 8
Levante
10 16 8 10 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.587%
Under 1.513%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Espanyol (home)

For2.3

Levante (away)

For2.3

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.572%
Under 19.528%
Over 22.558%
Under 22.542%
Over 25.545%
Under 25.555%
Expected total shots25.23

Espanyol

Shots Over 9.578%
Shots Over 11.564%
Shots Over 13.550%
Expected shots14.06
On Target Over 3.569%
On Target Over 4.552%
On Target Over 5.537%
Expected on target4.94

Levante

Shots Over 9.560%
Shots Over 11.543%
Shots Over 13.528%
Expected shots11.17
On Target Over 3.553%
On Target Over 4.536%
On Target Over 5.522%
Expected on target3.95

Shots per Game

Espanyol — total shots (home)13.4
Levante — total shots (away)10.4

Shots on Target

Espanyol — on target (home)4.8
Levante — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Espanyol

Inside the box7.97
Outside the box4.66

Levante

Inside the box7.92
Outside the box4.61

Player Shots Espanyol

Javi Puado
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target30%
Kike García
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target11%
Pere Milla
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target12%
Roberto Fernández
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target11%
C. Ngonge
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Levante

Carlos Espí
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target32%
Etta Eyong
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target13%
Iván Romero
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target6%
Brugui
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target16%
Víctor García
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Espanyol xG (home)1.28
Levante xG (away)1.38

Average Possession

42.34% Possession 42.79%

Team Comparison Espanyol vs Levante

77.45% Pass accuracy 78.03%
348 Passes per match 355.34
0.09 Goals prevented 0.14
13.68 Fouls committed 12.26
3.55 Goalkeeper saves 3.58
1.94 Offsides 1.59
16.13 Tackles per match 15.68

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Espanyol vs Levante prediction analysis

Review Espanyol vs Levante with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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