Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Espanyol vs Sevilla

Espanyol vs Sevilla prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2024-10-25 19:00
Espanyol
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Sevilla
Away

Prediction Summary

1
51%
X
23%
2
25%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Espanyol (Home)

Goals scored / match1.21
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate63%

Sevilla (Away)

Goals scored / match1.32
Goals conceded / match1.68
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Espanyol
WLLLL
Sevilla
LLWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 74%
32% +1.5 42%
11% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
63% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

Espanyol averages 1.21 goals scored at home, while Sevilla averages 1.32 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
51%
Draw
23%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
58%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Espanyol(A) 1 - 2 Sevilla Away
Nov 2025 Espanyol 2 - 1 Sevilla Home
Jan 2025 Espanyol(A) 1 - 1 Sevilla Draw
Oct 2024 Espanyol 0 - 2 Sevilla Away
May 2023 Espanyol(A) 2 - 3 Sevilla Away

In the last 5 meetings, Espanyol won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Espanyol — unbeaten run (home)1
Espanyol — scoring streak (home)1
Sevilla — winless run (away)5
Sevilla — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Espanyol Win (1)51%
Draw (X)23%
Sevilla Win (2)25%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 74%
32% +1.5 42%
11% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 26%
68% -1.5 58%
89% -2.5 89%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Espanyol vs Sevilla — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Espanyol — scored (home)1.21
Espanyol — conceded (home)1.05
Sevilla — scored (away)1.32
Sevilla — conceded (away)1.68
Model expected combined goals3

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%
No42%

Rate per Team

Espanyol — BTTS matches (home)63%
Sevilla — BTTS matches (away)58%
Combined (simple average)60.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.589%
Under 5.511%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Espanyol (home)

Corners for4.1
Corners against5.4

Sevilla (away)

Corners for4.5
Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Espanyol
10 11 6 14 9
Sevilla
10 9 6 8 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Espanyol (home)

For2.2

Sevilla (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Espanyol — total shots (home)9.9
Sevilla — total shots (away)11.5

Shots on Target

Espanyol — on target (home)3.2
Sevilla — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Espanyol

Inside the box5.79
Outside the box3.58

Sevilla

Inside the box7.45
Outside the box5.05

Player Shots Espanyol

Javi Puado
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target20%
Roberto Fernández
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target11%
A. Véliz
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target4%
Edu Expósito
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target5%
L. Cabrera
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target15%
+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Sevilla

A. Adams
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
Jesús Navas
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target7%
Kike Salas
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target6%
D. Lukebakio
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target26%
Juanlu Sánchez
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Espanyol xG (home)0.9
Sevilla xG (away)1.11

Average Possession

39.55% Possession 50.58%

Team Comparison Espanyol vs Sevilla

76.58% Pass accuracy 81.82%
328.29 Passes per match 432.63
-0.04 Goals prevented -0.07
13.11 Fouls committed 13
3.82 Goalkeeper saves 2.47
1.74 Offsides 2.06
16.84 Tackles per match 17.03

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Espanyol vs Sevilla prediction analysis

Review Espanyol vs Sevilla with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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