Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Estac Troyes vs Paris FC

Estac Troyes vs Paris FC prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2026-08-22 15:00
Estac Troyes
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
48%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Paris FC
Away

Prediction Summary

1
35%
X
28%
2
37%
+2.5 Goals
43%
BTTS
48%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Estac Troyes (Home)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Paris FC (Away)

Goals scored / match1.12
Goals conceded / match1.35
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate71%

Team Form last 5 matches

Paris FC
WLWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

0% +0.5 76%
0% +1.5 29%
0% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
0% BTTS 71%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Medium.

Estac Troyes averages 0 goals scored at home, while Paris FC averages 1.12 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
35%
Draw
28%
Away Win
37%
Over 2.5
43%
BTTS Yes
48%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2025 Estac Troyes(A) 0 - 1 Paris FC Away
Oct 2024 Estac Troyes 0 - 3 Paris FC Away
Apr 2024 Estac Troyes 1 - 2 Paris FC Away
Oct 2023 Estac Troyes(A) 2 - 2 Paris FC Draw
Apr 2021 Estac Troyes(A) 1 - 1 Paris FC Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Estac Troyes won 0, drew 2 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Paris FC — winless run (away)1
Paris FC — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Estac Troyes Win (1)35%
Draw (X)28%
Paris FC Win (2)37%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

0% +0.5 76%
0% +1.5 29%
0% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

100% -0.5 24%
100% -1.5 71%
100% -2.5 94%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Estac Troyes vs Paris FC — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Estac Troyes — scored (home)0
Estac Troyes — conceded (home)0
Paris FC — scored (away)1.12
Paris FC — conceded (away)1.35
Model expected combined goals2.38

Both Teams To Score

Yes48%
No52%

Rate per Team

Estac Troyes — BTTS matches (home)0%
Paris FC — BTTS matches (away)71%
Combined (simple average)35.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Estac Troyes (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Paris FC (away)

Corners for3.2
Corners against6.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Paris FC
11 10 10 10 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.541%
Under 1.559%
Over 2.530%
Under 2.570%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Estac Troyes (home)

For—

Paris FC (away)

For1.8

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.569%
Under 19.531%
Over 22.555%
Under 22.545%
Over 25.541%
Under 25.559%
Expected total shots24.45

Estac Troyes

Shots Over 9.574%
Shots Over 11.559%
Shots Over 13.543%
Expected shots13.17
On Target Over 3.563%
On Target Over 4.546%
On Target Over 5.532%
Expected on target4.57

Paris FC

Shots Over 9.561%
Shots Over 11.544%
Shots Over 13.529%
Expected shots11.28
On Target Over 3.553%
On Target Over 4.537%
On Target Over 5.523%
Expected on target3.97

Shots per Game

Estac Troyes — total shots (home)—
Paris FC — total shots (away)9.9

Shots on Target

Estac Troyes — on target (home)—
Paris FC — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Estac Troyes

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Paris FC

Inside the box7.79
Outside the box3.88

Player Shots Estac Troyes

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots Paris FC

I. Kebbal
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target10%
L. Koleosho
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target19%
M. Munetsi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target7%
R. Matondo
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target9%
C. Immobile
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Estac Troyes xG (home)-
Paris FC xG (away)1.32

Average Possession

-% Possession 50.38%

Team Comparison Estac Troyes vs Paris FC

0% Pass accuracy 84.03%
- Passes per match 467.88
- Goals prevented 0
- Fouls committed 10.65
- Goalkeeper saves 2.56
- Offsides 2.21
- Tackles per match 15.68

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Estac Troyes vs Paris FC prediction analysis

Review Estac Troyes vs Paris FC with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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