Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg

Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2026-09-05 15:00
Estac Troyes
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
53%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Strasbourg
Away

Prediction Summary

1
34%
X
25%
2
41%
+2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Estac Troyes (Home)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Strasbourg (Away)

Goals scored / match1.65
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate76%

Team Form last 5 matches

Strasbourg
WWDLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

0% +0.5 82%
0% +1.5 47%
0% +2.5 29%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%
0% BTTS 76%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Medium.

Estac Troyes averages 0 goals scored at home, while Strasbourg averages 1.65 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
34%
Draw
25%
Away Win
41%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
56%

Head-to-Head last 4

May 2023 Estac Troyes 1 - 1 Strasbourg Draw
Jan 2023 Estac Troyes(A) 3 - 2 Strasbourg Home
Apr 2022 Estac Troyes 1 - 1 Strasbourg Draw
Aug 2021 Estac Troyes(A) 1 - 1 Strasbourg Draw

In the last 4 meetings, Estac Troyes won 1, drew 3 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Strasbourg — winless run (away)0
Strasbourg — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Estac Troyes Win (1)34%
Draw (X)25%
Strasbourg Win (2)41%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

0% +0.5 82%
0% +1.5 47%
0% +2.5 29%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

100% -0.5 18%
100% -1.5 53%
100% -2.5 71%
100% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 100%

Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Estac Troyes — scored (home)0
Estac Troyes — conceded (home)0
Strasbourg — scored (away)1.65
Strasbourg — conceded (away)1.65
Model expected combined goals2.79

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%
No44%

Rate per Team

Estac Troyes — BTTS matches (home)0%
Strasbourg — BTTS matches (away)76%
Combined (simple average)38%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Estac Troyes (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Strasbourg (away)

Corners for3.5
Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Strasbourg
16 11 2 9 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.547%
Under 1.553%
Over 2.544%
Under 2.556%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Estac Troyes (home)

For—

Strasbourg (away)

For2.2

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.569%
Under 19.531%
Over 22.555%
Under 22.545%
Over 25.541%
Under 25.559%
Expected total shots24.43

Estac Troyes

Shots Over 9.573%
Shots Over 11.557%
Shots Over 13.542%
Expected shots12.97
On Target Over 3.564%
On Target Over 4.548%
On Target Over 5.533%
Expected on target4.67

Strasbourg

Shots Over 9.563%
Shots Over 11.546%
Shots Over 13.530%
Expected shots11.47
On Target Over 3.557%
On Target Over 4.540%
On Target Over 5.526%
Expected on target4.19

Shots per Game

Estac Troyes — total shots (home)—
Strasbourg — total shots (away)10.9

Shots on Target

Estac Troyes — on target (home)—
Strasbourg — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Estac Troyes

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Strasbourg

Inside the box7.94
Outside the box3.53

Player Shots Estac Troyes

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots Strasbourg

J. Panichelli
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target22%
J. Enciso
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Emegha
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target40%
M. Godo
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%
S. Nanasi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Estac Troyes xG (home)-
Strasbourg xG (away)1.59

Average Possession

-% Possession 53.74%

Team Comparison Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg

0% Pass accuracy 87.5%
- Passes per match 518.29
- Goals prevented 0.04
- Fouls committed 11.26
- Goalkeeper saves 3.24
- Offsides 1.94
- Tackles per match 16.15

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg prediction analysis

Review Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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