Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Estoril vs AVS

Estoril vs AVS prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-09-13 14:30
Estoril
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
61%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-1
AVS
Away

Prediction Summary

1
58%
X
21%
2
20%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Estoril (Home)

Goals scored / match1.71
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate35%
BTTS rate71%

AVS (Away)

Goals scored / match0.71
Goals conceded / match2.35
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Estoril
LDDLL
AVS
DWWDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 41%
41% +1.5 24%
35% +2.5 6%
18% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
71% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 61%. Model confidence is Medium.

Estoril averages 1.71 goals scored at home, while AVS averages 0.71 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
58%
Draw
21%
Away Win
20%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
58%

Head-to-Head last 4

Feb 2026 Estoril(A) 0 - 3 AVS Away
Sep 2025 Estoril 3 - 1 AVS Home
Apr 2025 Estoril(A) 3 - 0 AVS Home
Nov 2024 Estoril 0 - 0 AVS Draw

In the last 4 meetings, Estoril won 2, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Estoril — unbeaten run (home)0
Estoril — scoring streak (home)1
AVS — winless run (away)1
AVS — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Estoril Win (1)58%
Draw (X)21%
AVS Win (2)20%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 41%
41% +1.5 24%
35% +2.5 6%
18% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 59%
59% -1.5 76%
65% -2.5 94%
82% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Estoril vs AVS — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Estoril — scored (home)1.71
Estoril — conceded (home)1.53
AVS — scored (away)0.71
AVS — conceded (away)2.35
Model expected combined goals3.15

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%
No42%

Rate per Team

Estoril — BTTS matches (home)71%
AVS — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)56%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.571%
Under 8.529%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.547%
Under 10.553%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Estoril (home)

Corners for4.6
Corners against5.4

AVS (away)

Corners for3.9
Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Estoril
6 13 9 8 11
AVS
13 9 14 10 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Estoril (home)

For2.8

AVS (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Estoril — total shots (home)12.0
AVS — total shots (away)10.6

Shots on Target

Estoril — on target (home)4.5
AVS — on target (away)2.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Estoril

Inside the box7.44
Outside the box4.21

AVS

Inside the box6
Outside the box5.03

Player Shots Estoril

Y. Begraoui
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target26%
André Lacximicant
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target14%
João Carvalho
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target9%
Alejandro Marqués
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target8%
R. Guitane
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots AVS

Nenê
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target10%
Pedro Lima
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target8%
Ó. Perea
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target8%
D. Duarte
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target0%
B. Akinsola
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Estoril xG (home)1.26
AVS xG (away)0.94

Average Possession

52.71% Possession 39.21%

Team Comparison Estoril vs AVS

80.88% Pass accuracy 72.74%
444 Passes per match 298.79
-0.27 Goals prevented -0.11
12.94 Fouls committed 13.76
2.71 Goalkeeper saves 3.44
1.35 Offsides 1.52
14.76 Tackles per match 17.09

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Estoril vs AVS prediction analysis

Review Estoril vs AVS with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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