What markets are included in the Estoril vs Benfica prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Estoril vs Benfica prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Estoril vs Benfica

Estoril vs Benfica prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-05-03 19:30

Estoril

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

51%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Benfica

Away

Prediction Summary

24%

51%

Over 2.5

51%

BTTS Yes

53%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Estoril (Home)

Goals scored / match1.35

Goals conceded / match1.35

Over 2.5 rate12%

BTTS rate53%

Benfica (Away)

Goals scored / match1.88

Goals conceded / match0.94

Over 2.5 rate35%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Estoril

WDLWL

Benfica

DDWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 88%

41% +1.5 59%

12% +2.5 35%

12% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Low.

Estoril averages 1.35 goals scored at home, while Benfica averages 1.88 goals scored away.

Model Strength

53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

24%

Draw

24%

Away Win

51%

Over 2.5

51%

BTTS Yes

53%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Estoril 1 - 3 Benfica Away

Jan 2026 Estoril(A) 1 - 3 Benfica Away

May 2025 Estoril 1 - 2 Benfica Away

Dec 2024 Estoril(A) 0 - 3 Benfica Away

Mar 2024 Estoril(A) 1 - 3 Benfica Away

In the last 5 meetings, Estoril won 0, drew 0 and lost 5.

Current Streaks

Estoril — unbeaten run (home)1

Estoril — scoring streak (home)2

Benfica — winless run (away)1

Benfica — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Estoril Win (1)24%

Draw (X)24%

Benfica Win (2)51%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 88%

41% +1.5 59%

12% +2.5 35%

12% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 12%

59% -1.5 41%

88% -2.5 65%

88% -3.5 94%

100% -4.5 100%

Estoril vs Benfica — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Estoril — scored (home)1.35

Estoril — conceded (home)1.35

Benfica — scored (away)1.88

Benfica — conceded (away)0.94

Model expected combined goals2.73

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%

No47%

Rate per Team

Estoril — BTTS matches (home)53%

Benfica — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.588%

Under 4.512%

Over 5.588%

Under 5.512%

Over 6.582%

Under 6.518%

Over 7.562%

Under 7.538%

Over 8.547%

Under 8.553%

Over 9.538%

Under 9.562%

Over 10.535%

Under 10.565%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Estoril (home)

Corners for3.8

Corners against5.0

Benfica (away)

Corners for6.4

Corners against2.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Estoril

Benfica

10 14 6 8 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.594%

Under 1.56%

Over 2.582%

Under 2.518%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Estoril (home)

For2.6

Benfica (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Estoril — total shots (home)10.1

Benfica — total shots (away)14.7

Shots on Target

Estoril — on target (home)3.6

Benfica — on target (away)5.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Estoril

Inside the box5.38

Outside the box4.53

Benfica

Inside the box10.65

Outside the box6.21

Player Shots Estoril

André Lacximicant

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target11%

Xeka

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target7%

Y. Begraoui

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target12%

Fabrício Garcia

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target4%

K. Boma

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target24%

+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Benfica

A. Belotti

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target21%

Tiago Gouveia

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target50%

Z. Amdouni

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target25%

Arthur Cabral

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target14%

Á. Di María

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target20%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Estoril xG (home)1.17

Benfica xG (away)2.23

Average Possession

49.06% Possession 58.38%

Team Comparison Estoril vs Benfica

79.91% Pass accuracy 84.06%

404.68 Passes per match 501.68

-0.05 Goals prevented -0.07

15.88 Fouls committed 11.76

2.79 Goalkeeper saves 2.29

1.24 Offsides 3.11

15.62 Tackles per match 18.65

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Estoril vs Benfica prediction analysis

Review Estoril vs Benfica with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights