Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Estoril vs Boavista

Estoril vs Boavista prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-02-09 15:30
Estoril
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Boavista
Away

Prediction Summary

1
44%
X
27%
2
30%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS · No edge
50%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Estoril (Home)

Goals scored / match1.35
Goals conceded / match1.35
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate53%

Boavista (Away)

Goals scored / match0.94
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Estoril
WDLWL
Boavista
LLWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 59%
41% +1.5 35%
12% +2.5 0%
12% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.

Estoril averages 1.35 goals scored at home, while Boavista averages 0.94 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
44%
Draw
27%
Away Win
30%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
50%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2025 Estoril 2 - 1 Boavista Home
Aug 2024 Estoril(A) 0 - 0 Boavista Draw
Feb 2024 Estoril(A) 1 - 2 Boavista Away
Sep 2023 Estoril 1 - 2 Boavista Away
May 2023 Estoril(A) 0 - 1 Boavista Away

In the last 5 meetings, Estoril won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Estoril — unbeaten run (home)1
Estoril — scoring streak (home)2
Boavista — winless run (away)1
Boavista — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Estoril Win (1)44%
Draw (X)27%
Boavista Win (2)30%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 59%
41% +1.5 35%
12% +2.5 0%
12% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 41%
59% -1.5 65%
88% -2.5 100%
88% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Estoril vs Boavista — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Estoril — scored (home)1.35
Estoril — conceded (home)1.35
Boavista — scored (away)0.94
Boavista — conceded (away)1.65
Model expected combined goals2.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%
No50%

Rate per Team

Estoril — BTTS matches (home)53%
Boavista — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)47%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.585%
Under 4.515%
Over 5.582%
Under 5.518%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.538%
Under 9.562%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Estoril (home)

Corners for3.8
Corners against5.0

Boavista (away)

Corners for3.2
Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Estoril
3 8 6 9 8
Boavista
8 8 9 4 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.588%
Under 2.512%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Estoril (home)

For2.6

Boavista (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Estoril — total shots (home)10.1
Boavista — total shots (away)9.2

Shots on Target

Estoril — on target (home)3.6
Boavista — on target (away)3.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Estoril

Inside the box5.38
Outside the box4.53

Boavista

Inside the box6.09
Outside the box4.32

Player Shots Estoril

André Lacximicant
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target11%
Xeka
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target7%
Y. Begraoui
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target12%
Fabrício Garcia
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target4%
K. Boma
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Boavista

Manuel Namora
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target13%
R. Boženík
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target24%
Joel da Silva
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target7%
A. Diaby
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target8%
Miguel Reisinho
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Estoril xG (home)1.17
Boavista xG (away)0.96

Average Possession

49.06% Possession 39.79%

Team Comparison Estoril vs Boavista

79.91% Pass accuracy 73.29%
404.68 Passes per match 315.88
-0.05 Goals prevented 0.24
15.88 Fouls committed 12.74
2.79 Goalkeeper saves 3.5
1.24 Offsides 2.53
15.62 Tackles per match 16.82

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Estoril vs Boavista prediction analysis

Review Estoril vs Boavista with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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