Prediction Analysis: Estoril vs Famalicao
Estoril vs Famalicao prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Primeira Liga
2026-08-07
19:15
Estoril
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
47%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Famalicao
Away
Prediction Summary
1
40%
X
27%
2
33%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
Estoril (Home)
Goals scored / match1.71
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate35%
BTTS rate71%
Famalicao (Away)
Goals scored / match0.88
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate35%
Team Form last 5 matches
Estoril
LDDLL
Famalicao
WDDWD
Goals Comparison rate per team
76%
+0.5
65%
41%
+1.5
24%
35%
+2.5
0%
18%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
71%
BTTS
35%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Low.
Estoril averages 1.71 goals scored at home, while Famalicao averages 0.88 goals scored away.
Model Strength
53%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
40%
Draw
27%
Away Win
33%
Over 2.5
47%
BTTS Yes
52%
Head-to-Head last 5
Apr 2026
Estoril
0 - 1
Famalicao
Away
Dec 2025
Estoril(A)
0 - 4
Famalicao
Away
Nov 2025
Estoril
1 - 2
Famalicao
Away
Apr 2025
Estoril(A)
0 - 3
Famalicao
Away
Dec 2024
Estoril
2 - 1
Famalicao
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Estoril won 1, drew 0 and lost 4.
Current Streaks
Estoril — unbeaten run (home)0
Estoril — scoring streak (home)1
Famalicao — winless run (away)1
Famalicao — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Estoril Win (1)40%
Draw (X)27%
Famalicao Win (2)33%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
76%
+0.5
65%
41%
+1.5
24%
35%
+2.5
0%
18%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
24%
-0.5
35%
59%
-1.5
76%
65%
-2.5
100%
82%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Estoril vs Famalicao — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Estoril — scored (home)1.71
Estoril — conceded (home)1.53
Famalicao — scored (away)0.88
Famalicao — conceded (away)1
Model expected combined goals2.56
Both Teams To Score
Yes52%
No48%
Rate per Team
Estoril — BTTS matches (home)71%
Famalicao — BTTS matches (away)35%
Combined (simple average)53%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.548%
Under 9.552%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.70
Per-Team Corners own matches
Estoril (home)
Corners for4.6
Corners against5.4
Famalicao (away)
Corners for5.2
Corners against5.1
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Estoril
6
13
9
8
11
Famalicao
7
13
10
13
11
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6
Yellow Cards per Team
Estoril (home)
For2.8
Famalicao (away)
For2.5
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.565%
Under 19.535%
Over 22.551%
Under 22.549%
Over 25.537%
Under 25.563%
Expected total shots23.58
Estoril
Shots Over 9.567%
Shots Over 11.551%
Shots Over 13.536%
Expected shots12.13
On Target Over 3.560%
On Target Over 4.543%
On Target Over 5.529%
Expected on target4.36
Famalicao
Shots Over 9.562%
Shots Over 11.545%
Shots Over 13.531%
Expected shots11.45
On Target Over 3.555%
On Target Over 4.538%
On Target Over 5.524%
Expected on target4.05
Shots per Game
Estoril — total shots (home)12.0
Famalicao — total shots (away)10.5
Shots on Target
Estoril — on target (home)4.5
Famalicao — on target (away)3.6
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Estoril
Inside the box7.44
Outside the box4.21
Famalicao
Inside the box8.41
Outside the box4
Player Shots Estoril
Y. Begraoui
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target26%
André Lacximicant
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target14%
João Carvalho
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target9%
Alejandro Marqués
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target8%
R. Guitane
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target3%
Player Shots Famalicao
M. Zabiri
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target25%
Sorriso
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target15%
S. Elisor
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target15%
Gil Dias
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target3%
Gustavo Sá
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target3%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Estoril xG (home)1.26
Famalicao xG (away)1.34
Average Possession
52.71%
Possession
51.35%
Team Comparison Estoril vs Famalicao
80.88%
Pass accuracy
81.65%
444
Passes per match
402.94
-0.27
Goals prevented
-0
12.94
Fouls committed
15.79
2.71
Goalkeeper saves
2.82
1.35
Offsides
1.15
14.76
Tackles per match
17.41
League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Estoril vs Famalicao prediction analysis
Review Estoril vs Famalicao with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights