Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Estoril vs GIL Vicente

Estoril vs GIL Vicente prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2024-08-25 17:00
Estoril
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
49%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
GIL Vicente
Away

Prediction Summary

1
45%
X
26%
2
29%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Estoril (Home)

Goals scored / match1.35
Goals conceded / match1.35
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate53%

GIL Vicente (Away)

Goals scored / match0.94
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Estoril
WDLWL
GIL Vicente
DDLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 65%
41% +1.5 18%
12% +2.5 12%
12% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Low.

Estoril averages 1.35 goals scored at home, while GIL Vicente averages 0.94 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
45%
Draw
26%
Away Win
29%
Over 2.5
49%
BTTS Yes
53%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Estoril 3 - 1 GIL Vicente Home
Sep 2025 Estoril(A) 0 - 2 GIL Vicente Away
Feb 2025 Estoril(A) 2 - 1 GIL Vicente Home
Aug 2024 Estoril 0 - 0 GIL Vicente Draw
Feb 2024 Estoril 1 - 3 GIL Vicente Away

In the last 5 meetings, Estoril won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Estoril — unbeaten run (home)1
Estoril — scoring streak (home)2
GIL Vicente — winless run (away)2
GIL Vicente — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Estoril Win (1)45%
Draw (X)26%
GIL Vicente Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 65%
41% +1.5 18%
12% +2.5 12%
12% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 35%
59% -1.5 82%
88% -2.5 88%
88% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Estoril vs GIL Vicente — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Estoril — scored (home)1.35
Estoril — conceded (home)1.35
GIL Vicente — scored (away)0.94
GIL Vicente — conceded (away)1.65
Model expected combined goals2.65

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%
No47%

Rate per Team

Estoril — BTTS matches (home)53%
GIL Vicente — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.591%
Under 4.59%
Over 5.591%
Under 5.59%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.568%
Under 7.532%
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.535%
Under 9.565%
Over 10.532%
Under 10.568%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Estoril (home)

Corners for3.8
Corners against5.0

GIL Vicente (away)

Corners for3.4
Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Estoril
3 8 6 9 8
GIL Vicente
9 5 11 5 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Estoril (home)

For2.6

GIL Vicente (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Estoril — total shots (home)10.1
GIL Vicente — total shots (away)7.8

Shots on Target

Estoril — on target (home)3.6
GIL Vicente — on target (away)2.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Estoril

Inside the box5.38
Outside the box4.53

GIL Vicente

Inside the box6.09
Outside the box3.53

Player Shots Estoril

André Lacximicant
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target11%
Xeka
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target7%
Y. Begraoui
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target12%
Fabrício Garcia
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target4%
K. Boma
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots GIL Vicente

A. Bamba
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target9%
Pablo
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target5%
K. Fujimoto
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target13%
T. Touré
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target8%
Félix Correia
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Estoril xG (home)1.17
GIL Vicente xG (away)0.94

Average Possession

49.06% Possession 50.85%

Team Comparison Estoril vs GIL Vicente

79.91% Pass accuracy 81.62%
404.68 Passes per match 437.18
-0.05 Goals prevented -0.1
15.88 Fouls committed 11.62
2.79 Goalkeeper saves 2.71
1.24 Offsides 1.53
15.62 Tackles per match 15.71

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Estoril vs GIL Vicente prediction analysis

Review Estoril vs GIL Vicente with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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