What markets are included in the Estoril vs Moreirense prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Estoril vs Moreirense prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Estoril vs Moreirense

Estoril vs Moreirense prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Primeira Liga 2024-12-28 18:00

Estoril

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

49%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Moreirense

Away

Prediction Summary

40%

26%

34%

Under 2.5

51%

BTTS Yes

53%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Estoril (Home)

Goals scored / match1.35

Goals conceded / match1.35

Over 2.5 rate12%

BTTS rate53%

Moreirense (Away)

Goals scored / match1.18

Goals conceded / match1.71

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate59%

Team Form last 5 matches

Estoril

WDLWL

Moreirense

WDLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 76%

41% +1.5 35%

12% +2.5 6%

12% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 59%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Low.

Estoril averages 1.35 goals scored at home, while Moreirense averages 1.18 goals scored away.

Model Strength

53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

40%

Draw

26%

Away Win

34%

Over 2.5

49%

BTTS Yes

53%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Estoril(A) 0 - 1 Moreirense Away

Dec 2025 Estoril 3 - 3 Moreirense Draw

May 2025 Estoril(A) 2 - 2 Moreirense Draw

Dec 2024 Estoril 2 - 2 Moreirense Draw

May 2024 Estoril(A) 1 - 2 Moreirense Away

In the last 5 meetings, Estoril won 0, drew 3 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Estoril — unbeaten run (home)1

Estoril — scoring streak (home)2

Moreirense — winless run (away)0

Moreirense — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Estoril Win (1)40%

Draw (X)26%

Moreirense Win (2)34%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 76%

41% +1.5 35%

12% +2.5 6%

12% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 24%

59% -1.5 65%

88% -2.5 94%

88% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Estoril vs Moreirense — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Estoril — scored (home)1.35

Estoril — conceded (home)1.35

Moreirense — scored (away)1.18

Moreirense — conceded (away)1.71

Model expected combined goals2.63

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%

No47%

Rate per Team

Estoril — BTTS matches (home)53%

Moreirense — BTTS matches (away)59%

Combined (simple average)56%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.588%

Under 4.512%

Over 5.588%

Under 5.512%

Over 6.576%

Under 6.524%

Over 7.556%

Under 7.544%

Over 8.544%

Under 8.556%

Over 9.529%

Under 9.571%

Over 10.529%

Under 10.571%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Estoril (home)

Corners for3.8

Corners against5.0

Moreirense (away)

Corners for3.1

Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Estoril

3 8 6 9 8

Moreirense

6 7 11 9 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.582%

Under 2.518%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Estoril (home)

For2.6

Moreirense (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Estoril — total shots (home)10.1

Moreirense — total shots (away)10.0

Shots on Target

Estoril — on target (home)3.6

Moreirense — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Estoril

Inside the box5.38

Outside the box4.53

Moreirense

Inside the box5.76

Outside the box4.47

Player Shots Estoril

André Lacximicant

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target11%

Xeka

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target7%

Y. Begraoui

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target12%

Fabrício Garcia

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target4%

K. Boma

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target24%

+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Moreirense

Dinis Pinto

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target15%

+1.5 On Target7%

Madson

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target21%

Guilherme Schettine

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target17%

Luís Asué

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target16%

Alan

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Estoril xG (home)1.17

Moreirense xG (away)0.92

Average Possession

49.06% Possession 47.47%

Team Comparison Estoril vs Moreirense

79.91% Pass accuracy 79.97%

404.68 Passes per match 384.35

-0.05 Goals prevented -0.27

15.88 Fouls committed 14.59

2.79 Goalkeeper saves 2.59

1.24 Offsides 1.75

15.62 Tackles per match 16.35

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Estoril vs Moreirense prediction analysis

Review Estoril vs Moreirense with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights