What markets are included in the Estoril vs Rio Ave prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Estoril vs Rio Ave prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Estoril vs Rio Ave

Estoril vs Rio Ave prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-02-22 20:30

Estoril

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

44%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Rio Ave

Away

Prediction Summary

50%

26%

24%

Under 2.5

56%

BTTS No

52%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Estoril (Home)

Goals scored / match1.35

Goals conceded / match1.35

Over 2.5 rate12%

BTTS rate53%

Rio Ave (Away)

Goals scored / match0.82

Goals conceded / match1.82

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Estoril

WDLWL

Rio Ave

DDWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 53%

41% +1.5 24%

12% +2.5 6%

12% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 44%. Model confidence is Medium.

Estoril averages 1.35 goals scored at home, while Rio Ave averages 0.82 goals scored away.

Model Strength

56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

50%

Draw

26%

Away Win

24%

Over 2.5

44%

BTTS Yes

48%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Estoril 1 - 2 Rio Ave Away

Nov 2025 Estoril(A) 4 - 0 Rio Ave Home

Feb 2025 Estoril 2 - 1 Rio Ave Home

Sep 2024 Estoril(A) 2 - 2 Rio Ave Draw

Jan 2024 Estoril(A) 1 - 1 Rio Ave Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Estoril won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Estoril — unbeaten run (home)1

Estoril — scoring streak (home)2

Rio Ave — winless run (away)2

Rio Ave — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Estoril Win (1)50%

Draw (X)26%

Rio Ave Win (2)24%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 53%

41% +1.5 24%

12% +2.5 6%

12% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 47%

59% -1.5 76%

88% -2.5 94%

88% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Estoril vs Rio Ave — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Estoril — scored (home)1.35

Estoril — conceded (home)1.35

Rio Ave — scored (away)0.82

Rio Ave — conceded (away)1.82

Model expected combined goals2.46

Both Teams To Score

Yes48%

No52%

Rate per Team

Estoril — BTTS matches (home)53%

Rio Ave — BTTS matches (away)41%

Combined (simple average)47%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.585%

Under 4.515%

Over 5.585%

Under 5.515%

Over 6.579%

Under 6.521%

Over 7.568%

Under 7.532%

Over 8.553%

Under 8.547%

Over 9.535%

Under 9.565%

Over 10.529%

Under 10.571%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Estoril (home)

Corners for3.8

Corners against5.0

Rio Ave (away)

Corners for3.4

Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Estoril

3 8 6 9 8

Rio Ave

10 10 8 9 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.579%

Under 2.521%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Estoril (home)

For2.6

Rio Ave (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Estoril — total shots (home)10.1

Rio Ave — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

Estoril — on target (home)3.6

Rio Ave — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Estoril

Inside the box5.38

Outside the box4.53

Rio Ave

Inside the box6.79

Outside the box4.26

Player Shots Estoril

André Lacximicant

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target11%

Xeka

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target7%

Y. Begraoui

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target12%

Fabrício Garcia

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target4%

K. Boma

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target24%

+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Rio Ave

F. Petrasso

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target14%

Clayton

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target74%

+1.5 On Target35%

Koka

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target11%

E. Tıknaz

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target7%

João Novais

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Estoril xG (home)1.17

Rio Ave xG (away)1.07

Average Possession

49.06% Possession 47.71%

Team Comparison Estoril vs Rio Ave

79.91% Pass accuracy 79.59%

404.68 Passes per match 389.88

-0.05 Goals prevented -0.09

15.88 Fouls committed 13.5

2.79 Goalkeeper saves 3.53

1.24 Offsides 2.79

15.62 Tackles per match 17.68

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Estoril vs Rio Ave prediction analysis

Review Estoril vs Rio Ave with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights