Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Estoril vs Santa Clara

Estoril vs Santa Clara prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-09-06 19:30
Estoril
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
52%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Santa Clara
Away

Prediction Summary

1
46%
X
25%
2
29%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Estoril (Home)

Goals scored / match1.71
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate35%
BTTS rate71%

Santa Clara (Away)

Goals scored / match0.88
Goals conceded / match1.41
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Estoril
LDDLL
Santa Clara
LWDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 59%
41% +1.5 24%
35% +2.5 6%
18% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
71% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Medium.

Estoril averages 1.71 goals scored at home, while Santa Clara averages 0.88 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
46%
Draw
25%
Away Win
29%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
55%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Estoril(A) 4 - 2 Santa Clara Home
Sep 2025 Estoril 0 - 1 Santa Clara Away
Jan 2025 Estoril(A) 3 - 2 Santa Clara Home
Aug 2024 Estoril 1 - 4 Santa Clara Away
Apr 2023 Estoril 3 - 0 Santa Clara Home

In the last 5 meetings, Estoril won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Estoril — unbeaten run (home)0
Estoril — scoring streak (home)1
Santa Clara — winless run (away)4
Santa Clara — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Estoril Win (1)46%
Draw (X)25%
Santa Clara Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 59%
41% +1.5 24%
35% +2.5 6%
18% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 41%
59% -1.5 76%
65% -2.5 94%
82% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Estoril vs Santa Clara — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Estoril — scored (home)1.71
Estoril — conceded (home)1.53
Santa Clara — scored (away)0.88
Santa Clara — conceded (away)1.41
Model expected combined goals2.77

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%
No45%

Rate per Team

Estoril — BTTS matches (home)71%
Santa Clara — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)59%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.591%
Under 5.59%
Over 6.576%
Under 6.524%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.571%
Under 8.529%
Over 9.556%
Under 9.544%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Estoril (home)

Corners for4.6
Corners against5.4

Santa Clara (away)

Corners for4.7
Corners against4.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Estoril
6 13 9 8 11
Santa Clara
10 5 11 10 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.585%
Under 2.515%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Estoril (home)

For2.8

Santa Clara (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Estoril — total shots (home)12.0
Santa Clara — total shots (away)11.8

Shots on Target

Estoril — on target (home)4.5
Santa Clara — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Estoril

Inside the box7.44
Outside the box4.21

Santa Clara

Inside the box6.62
Outside the box5.09

Player Shots Estoril

Y. Begraoui
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target26%
André Lacximicant
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target14%
João Carvalho
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target9%
Alejandro Marqués
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target8%
R. Guitane
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Santa Clara

Gabriel Silva
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target10%
Vinícius Lopes
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
Gonçalo Paciência
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%
Wendel
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target8%
MT
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target17%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Estoril xG (home)1.26
Santa Clara xG (away)1.07

Average Possession

52.71% Possession 48.44%

Team Comparison Estoril vs Santa Clara

80.88% Pass accuracy 79.29%
444 Passes per match 368.82
-0.27 Goals prevented -0.12
12.94 Fouls committed 14.85
2.71 Goalkeeper saves 2.48
1.35 Offsides 1.78
14.76 Tackles per match 15.56

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Estoril vs Santa Clara prediction analysis

Review Estoril vs Santa Clara with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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