Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Estoril vs SC Braga

Estoril vs SC Braga prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-04-19 17:00
Estoril
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
39%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
SC Braga
Away

Prediction Summary

1
26%
X
28%
2
46%
Under 2.5
61%
BTTS No
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Estoril (Home)

Goals scored / match1.35
Goals conceded / match1.35
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate53%

SC Braga (Away)

Goals scored / match1.29
Goals conceded / match0.65
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Estoril
WDLWL
SC Braga
DLDDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 88%
41% +1.5 35%
12% +2.5 6%
12% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 39%. Model confidence is Medium.

Estoril averages 1.35 goals scored at home, while SC Braga averages 1.29 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
26%
Draw
28%
Away Win
46%
Over 2.5
39%
BTTS Yes
44%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Estoril(A) 1 - 1 SC Braga Draw
Dec 2025 Estoril 1 - 0 SC Braga Home
Apr 2025 Estoril 0 - 2 SC Braga Away
Dec 2024 Estoril(A) 2 - 2 SC Braga Draw
Apr 2024 Estoril 0 - 1 SC Braga Away

In the last 5 meetings, Estoril won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Estoril — unbeaten run (home)1
Estoril — scoring streak (home)2
SC Braga — winless run (away)2
SC Braga — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Estoril Win (1)26%
Draw (X)28%
SC Braga Win (2)46%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 88%
41% +1.5 35%
12% +2.5 6%
12% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 12%
59% -1.5 65%
88% -2.5 94%
88% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Estoril vs SC Braga — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Estoril — scored (home)1.35
Estoril — conceded (home)1.35
SC Braga — scored (away)1.29
SC Braga — conceded (away)0.65
Model expected combined goals2.25

Both Teams To Score

Yes44%
No56%

Rate per Team

Estoril — BTTS matches (home)53%
SC Braga — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.582%
Under 4.518%
Over 5.582%
Under 5.518%
Over 6.576%
Under 6.524%
Over 7.565%
Under 7.535%
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.541%
Under 9.559%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Estoril (home)

Corners for3.8
Corners against5.0

SC Braga (away)

Corners for5.2
Corners against4.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Estoril
3 8 6 9 8
SC Braga
3 15 8 9 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.585%
Under 2.515%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Estoril (home)

For2.6

SC Braga (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Estoril — total shots (home)10.1
SC Braga — total shots (away)12.5

Shots on Target

Estoril — on target (home)3.6
SC Braga — on target (away)4.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Estoril

Inside the box5.38
Outside the box4.53

SC Braga

Inside the box8.97
Outside the box4.71

Player Shots Estoril

André Lacximicant
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target11%
Xeka
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target7%
Y. Begraoui
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target12%
Fabrício Garcia
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target4%
K. Boma
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots SC Braga

Bruma
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target24%
Gabri Martínez
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target17%
R. Zalazar
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target16%
Roger Fernandes
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target14%
A. El Ouazzani
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target15%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Estoril xG (home)1.17
SC Braga xG (away)1.5

Average Possession

49.06% Possession 56.94%

Team Comparison Estoril vs SC Braga

79.91% Pass accuracy 82.91%
404.68 Passes per match 500.94
-0.05 Goals prevented 0.15
15.88 Fouls committed 14.21
2.79 Goalkeeper saves 2.79
1.24 Offsides 2
15.62 Tackles per match 16.74

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Estoril vs SC Braga prediction analysis

Review Estoril vs SC Braga with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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