What markets are included in the Estrela vs AVS prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Estrela vs AVS prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Estrela vs AVS

Estrela vs AVS prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Primeira Liga 2025-05-11 14:30

Estrela

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

50%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

AVS

Away

Prediction Summary

50%

25%

O/U 2.5 · No edge

50%

BTTS Yes

53%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Estrela (Home)

Goals scored / match1.06

Goals conceded / match1.41

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate41%

AVS (Away)

Goals scored / match0.78

Goals conceded / match2

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate56%

Team Form last 5 matches

Estrela

LLLWL

AVS

DWLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

59% +0.5 67%

47% +1.5 11%

0% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

41% BTTS 56%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Low.

Estrela averages 1.06 goals scored at home, while AVS averages 0.78 goals scored away.

Model Strength

53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

50%

Draw

25%

Away Win

25%

Over 2.5

50%

BTTS Yes

53%

Head-to-Head last 4

Feb 2026 Estrela(A) 0 - 0 AVS Draw

Sep 2025 Estrela 3 - 0 AVS Home

May 2025 Estrela 0 - 1 AVS Away

Dec 2024 Estrela(A) 1 - 1 AVS Draw

In the last 4 meetings, Estrela won 1, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Estrela — unbeaten run (home)0

Estrela — scoring streak (home)0

AVS — winless run (away)1

AVS — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Estrela Win (1)50%

Draw (X)25%

AVS Win (2)25%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

59% +0.5 67%

47% +1.5 11%

0% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

41% -0.5 33%

53% -1.5 89%

100% -2.5 100%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Estrela vs AVS — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Estrela — scored (home)1.06

Estrela — conceded (home)1.41

AVS — scored (away)0.78

AVS — conceded (away)2

Model expected combined goals2.69

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%

No47%

Rate per Team

Estrela — BTTS matches (home)41%

AVS — BTTS matches (away)56%

Combined (simple average)48.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.577%

Under 6.523%

Over 7.558%

Under 7.542%

Over 8.558%

Under 8.542%

Over 9.543%

Under 9.557%

Over 10.529%

Under 10.571%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Estrela (home)

Corners for3.9

Corners against5.3

AVS (away)

Corners for3.7

Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Estrela

8 16 8 7 8

AVS

9 7 6 10 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.597%

Under 1.53%

Over 2.588%

Under 2.512%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Estrela (home)

For2.9

AVS (away)

For2.9

Shots per Game

Estrela — total shots (home)10.2

AVS — total shots (away)9.6

Shots on Target

Estrela — on target (home)2.7

AVS — on target (away)2.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Estrela

Inside the box5.41

Outside the box4.32

AVS

Inside the box6.03

Outside the box4.17

Player Shots Estrela

Igor Jesus

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target8%

+1.5 On Target8%

Nilton Varela

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target4%

+1.5 On Target4%

André Luiz

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target18%

Kikas

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target13%

Chico Banza

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target23%

+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots AVS

Samuel Granada

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target25%

Zé Luís

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target12%

B. Akinsola

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target9%

Vasco Lopes

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target31%

+1.5 On Target8%

Nenê

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Estrela xG (home)0.8

AVS xG (away)0.89

Average Possession

44.62% Possession 42.81%

Team Comparison Estrela vs AVS

74.65% Pass accuracy 76.78%

325.97 Passes per match 347.36

-0.13 Goals prevented -0.09

15.32 Fouls committed 14.08

3.09 Goalkeeper saves 3.65

2.09 Offsides 1.5

18 Tackles per match 16.25

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Estrela vs AVS prediction analysis

Review Estrela vs AVS with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights