What markets are included in the Estrela vs Rio Ave prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Estrela vs Rio Ave prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Estrela vs Rio Ave

Estrela vs Rio Ave prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2024-12-23 20:45

Estrela

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

53%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Rio Ave

Away

Prediction Summary

59%

22%

18%

Over 2.5

53%

BTTS Yes

51%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Estrela (Home)

Goals scored / match1.06

Goals conceded / match1.41

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate41%

Rio Ave (Away)

Goals scored / match0.82

Goals conceded / match1.82

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Estrela

LLLWL

Rio Ave

DDWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

59% +0.5 53%

47% +1.5 24%

0% +2.5 6%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

41% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Medium.

Estrela averages 1.06 goals scored at home, while Rio Ave averages 0.82 goals scored away.

Model Strength

59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

59%

Draw

22%

Away Win

18%

Over 2.5

53%

BTTS Yes

51%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Estrela(A) 1 - 2 Rio Ave Away

Oct 2025 Estrela 1 - 2 Rio Ave Away

May 2025 Estrela(A) 0 - 2 Rio Ave Away

Dec 2024 Estrela 1 - 0 Rio Ave Home

Apr 2024 Estrela 2 - 2 Rio Ave Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Estrela won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Estrela — unbeaten run (home)0

Estrela — scoring streak (home)0

Rio Ave — winless run (away)2

Rio Ave — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Estrela Win (1)59%

Draw (X)22%

Rio Ave Win (2)18%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

59% +0.5 53%

47% +1.5 24%

0% +2.5 6%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

41% -0.5 47%

53% -1.5 76%

100% -2.5 94%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Estrela vs Rio Ave — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Estrela — scored (home)1.06

Estrela — conceded (home)1.41

Rio Ave — scored (away)0.82

Rio Ave — conceded (away)1.82

Model expected combined goals2.79

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%

No49%

Rate per Team

Estrela — BTTS matches (home)41%

Rio Ave — BTTS matches (away)41%

Combined (simple average)41%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%

Under 4.56%

Over 5.591%

Under 5.59%

Over 6.582%

Under 6.518%

Over 7.568%

Under 7.532%

Over 8.562%

Under 8.538%

Over 9.538%

Under 9.562%

Over 10.529%

Under 10.571%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Estrela (home)

Corners for3.9

Corners against5.3

Rio Ave (away)

Corners for3.4

Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Estrela

8 16 8 7 8

Rio Ave

10 10 8 9 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.579%

Under 2.521%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Estrela (home)

For2.9

Rio Ave (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Estrela — total shots (home)10.2

Rio Ave — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

Estrela — on target (home)2.7

Rio Ave — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Estrela

Inside the box5.41

Outside the box4.32

Rio Ave

Inside the box6.79

Outside the box4.26

Player Shots Estrela

Igor Jesus

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target8%

+1.5 On Target8%

Nilton Varela

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target4%

+1.5 On Target4%

André Luiz

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target18%

Kikas

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target13%

Chico Banza

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target23%

+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Rio Ave

F. Petrasso

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target14%

Clayton

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target74%

+1.5 On Target35%

Koka

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target11%

E. Tıknaz

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target7%

João Novais

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Estrela xG (home)0.8

Rio Ave xG (away)1.07

Average Possession

44.62% Possession 47.71%

Team Comparison Estrela vs Rio Ave

74.65% Pass accuracy 79.59%

325.97 Passes per match 389.88

-0.13 Goals prevented -0.09

15.32 Fouls committed 13.5

3.09 Goalkeeper saves 3.53

2.09 Offsides 2.79

18 Tackles per match 17.68

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Estrela vs Rio Ave prediction analysis

Review Estrela vs Rio Ave with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights