Prediction Analysis: Everton de Vina vs D. La Serena
Everton de Vina vs D. La Serena prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Primera División
2025-08-28
23:00
Everton de Vina
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
47%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-0
D. La Serena
Away
Prediction Summary
1
50%
X
26%
2
25%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS · No edge
50%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
Everton de Vina (Home)
Goals scored / match1.07
Goals conceded / match1.07
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate53%
D. La Serena (Away)
Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.87
Over 2.5 rate7%
BTTS rate80%
Team Form last 5 matches
Everton de Vina
LLLWL
D. La Serena
LLLLW
Goals Comparison rate per team
60%
+0.5
80%
27%
+1.5
13%
13%
+2.5
7%
7%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
53%
BTTS
80%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Low.
Everton de Vina averages 1.07 goals scored at home, while D. La Serena averages 1 goals scored away.
Model Strength
53%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
50%
Draw
26%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
Head-to-Head last 2
Aug 2025
Everton de Vina
3 - 1
D. La Serena
Home
Apr 2025
Everton de Vina(A)
1 - 2
D. La Serena
Away
In the last 2 meetings, Everton de Vina won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Everton de Vina — unbeaten run (home)0
Everton de Vina — scoring streak (home)0
D. La Serena — winless run (away)2
D. La Serena — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Everton de Vina Win (1)50%
Draw (X)26%
D. La Serena Win (2)25%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
60%
+0.5
80%
27%
+1.5
13%
13%
+2.5
7%
7%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
40%
-0.5
20%
73%
-1.5
87%
87%
-2.5
93%
93%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Everton de Vina vs D. La Serena — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Everton de Vina — scored (home)1.07
Everton de Vina — conceded (home)1.07
D. La Serena — scored (away)1
D. La Serena — conceded (away)1.87
Model expected combined goals2.55
Both Teams To Score
Yes50%
No50%
Rate per Team
Everton de Vina — BTTS matches (home)53%
D. La Serena — BTTS matches (away)80%
Combined (simple average)66.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.590%
Under 6.510%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.570%
Under 8.530%
Over 9.567%
Under 9.533%
Over 10.557%
Under 10.543%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.30
Per-Team Corners own matches
Everton de Vina (home)
Corners for6.1
Corners against4.7
D. La Serena (away)
Corners for3.5
Corners against6.2
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Everton de Vina
7
14
13
14
4
D. La Serena
3
13
11
12
7
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.594%
Under 2.56%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.4
Yellow Cards per Team
Everton de Vina (home)
For3.1
D. La Serena (away)
For2.8
Shots per Game
Everton de Vina — total shots (home)14.5
D. La Serena — total shots (away)11.0
Shots on Target
Everton de Vina — on target (home)3.7
D. La Serena — on target (away)4.0
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Everton de Vina
Inside the box7.07
Outside the box5.87
D. La Serena
Inside the box6.23
Outside the box6.83
Player Shots Everton de Vina
S. Sosa
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target33%
C. Palacios
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target16%
I. Ramírez
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target25%
R. Piñeiro
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target12%
A. Medina
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target7%
Player Shots D. La Serena
J. Vargas
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target32%
Á. Henríquez
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target20%
G. Jara
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target7%
L. Ovando
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target8%
E. Moreira
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target6%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Everton de Vina xG (home)1.05
D. La Serena xG (away)1.19
Average Possession
46.07%
Possession
45.97%
Team Comparison Everton de Vina vs D. La Serena
75.13%
Pass accuracy
76.53%
350.97
Passes per match
341.27
0
Goals prevented
0
10.73
Fouls committed
11.8
2.73
Goalkeeper saves
3.07
1.22
Offsides
1.55
15.77
Tackles per match
14.53
League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Everton de Vina vs D. La Serena prediction analysis
Review Everton de Vina vs D. La Serena with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Primera División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights