Prediction Analysis: Everton de Vina vs Union La Calera
Everton de Vina vs Union La Calera prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Primera División
2025-04-20
16:30
Everton de Vina
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
15%
Confidence
High
Score
0-0
Union La Calera
Away
Prediction Summary
1
52%
X
36%
2
12%
Under 2.5
85%
BTTS No
82%
Confidence
High
Market Evidence
Everton de Vina (Home)
Goals scored / match1.07
Goals conceded / match1.07
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate53%
Union La Calera (Away)
Goals scored / match0.67
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate7%
BTTS rate40%
Team Form last 5 matches
Everton de Vina
LLLWL
Union La Calera
LLLLL
Goals Comparison rate per team
60%
+0.5
53%
27%
+1.5
7%
13%
+2.5
7%
7%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
53%
BTTS
40%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 15%. Model confidence is High.
Everton de Vina averages 1.07 goals scored at home, while Union La Calera averages 0.67 goals scored away.
Model Strength
85%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
52%
Draw
36%
Away Win
12%
Over 2.5
15%
BTTS Yes
18%
Head-to-Head last 2
Sep 2025
Everton de Vina(A)
0 - 1
Union La Calera
Away
Apr 2025
Everton de Vina
1 - 1
Union La Calera
Draw
In the last 2 meetings, Everton de Vina won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Everton de Vina — unbeaten run (home)0
Everton de Vina — scoring streak (home)0
Union La Calera — winless run (away)8
Union La Calera — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Everton de Vina Win (1)52%
Draw (X)36%
Union La Calera Win (2)12%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
60%
+0.5
53%
27%
+1.5
7%
13%
+2.5
7%
7%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
40%
-0.5
47%
73%
-1.5
93%
87%
-2.5
93%
93%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Everton de Vina vs Union La Calera — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Everton de Vina — scored (home)1.07
Everton de Vina — conceded (home)1.07
Union La Calera — scored (away)0.67
Union La Calera — conceded (away)1.53
Model expected combined goals1.33
Both Teams To Score
Yes18%
No82%
Rate per Team
Everton de Vina — BTTS matches (home)53%
Union La Calera — BTTS matches (away)40%
Combined (simple average)46.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.597%
Under 6.53%
Over 7.580%
Under 7.520%
Over 8.574%
Under 8.526%
Over 9.567%
Under 9.533%
Over 10.553%
Under 10.547%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.80
Per-Team Corners own matches
Everton de Vina (home)
Corners for6.1
Corners against4.7
Union La Calera (away)
Corners for4.2
Corners against6.5
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Everton de Vina
7
14
13
14
4
Union La Calera
7
7
6
8
11
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.594%
Under 2.56%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.2
Yellow Cards per Team
Everton de Vina (home)
For3.1
Union La Calera (away)
For2.5
Shots per Game
Everton de Vina — total shots (home)14.5
Union La Calera — total shots (away)8.0
Shots on Target
Everton de Vina — on target (home)3.7
Union La Calera — on target (away)2.5
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Everton de Vina
Inside the box7.07
Outside the box5.87
Union La Calera
Inside the box5.57
Outside the box4.23
Player Shots Everton de Vina
S. Sosa
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target33%
C. Palacios
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target16%
I. Ramírez
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target25%
R. Piñeiro
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target12%
A. Medina
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target7%
Player Shots Union La Calera
S. Sáez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target17%
L. Benegas
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target13%
Ignacio Mesías
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
C. Insaurralde
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Encinas
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target0%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Everton de Vina xG (home)1.05
Union La Calera xG (away)1.05
Average Possession
46.07%
Possession
49.03%
Team Comparison Everton de Vina vs Union La Calera
75.13%
Pass accuracy
76.73%
350.97
Passes per match
383.4
0
Goals prevented
0
10.73
Fouls committed
11.5
2.73
Goalkeeper saves
2.76
1.22
Offsides
1.74
15.77
Tackles per match
15.45
League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Everton de Vina vs Union La Calera prediction analysis
Review Everton de Vina vs Union La Calera with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Primera División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights