Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Everton vs Crystal Palace

Everton vs Crystal Palace prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premier League 2026-08-22 14:00
Everton
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
55%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Crystal Palace
Away

Prediction Summary

1
40%
X
26%
2
34%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Everton (Home)

Goals scored / match1.37
Goals conceded / match1.42
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate53%

Crystal Palace (Away)

Goals scored / match1.16
Goals conceded / match1.47
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Everton
LLDDL
Crystal Palace
LDLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 74%
42% +1.5 32%
16% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Low.

Everton averages 1.37 goals scored at home, while Crystal Palace averages 1.16 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
40%
Draw
26%
Away Win
34%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
55%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Everton(A) 2 - 2 Crystal Palace Draw
Oct 2025 Everton 2 - 1 Crystal Palace Home
Feb 2025 Everton(A) 2 - 1 Crystal Palace Home
Sep 2024 Everton 2 - 1 Crystal Palace Home
Feb 2024 Everton 1 - 1 Crystal Palace Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Everton won 3, drew 2 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Everton — unbeaten run (home)0
Everton — scoring streak (home)5
Crystal Palace — winless run (away)4
Crystal Palace — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Everton Win (1)40%
Draw (X)26%
Crystal Palace Win (2)34%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 74%
42% +1.5 32%
16% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 26%
58% -1.5 68%
84% -2.5 89%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Everton vs Crystal Palace — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Everton — scored (home)1.37
Everton — conceded (home)1.42
Crystal Palace — scored (away)1.16
Crystal Palace — conceded (away)1.47
Model expected combined goals2.71

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%
No45%

Rate per Team

Everton — BTTS matches (home)53%
Crystal Palace — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Everton (home)

Corners for4.9
Corners against4.6

Crystal Palace (away)

Corners for4.0
Corners against6.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Everton
7 14 15 5 14
Crystal Palace
8 15 13 13 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.590%
Under 0.510%
Over 1.587%
Under 1.513%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Everton (home)

For2.1

Crystal Palace (away)

For2.8

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.568%
Under 19.532%
Over 22.554%
Under 22.546%
Over 25.540%
Under 25.560%
Expected total shots24.17

Everton

Shots Over 9.573%
Shots Over 11.557%
Shots Over 13.542%
Expected shots12.98
On Target Over 3.562%
On Target Over 4.545%
On Target Over 5.530%
Expected on target4.46

Crystal Palace

Shots Over 9.561%
Shots Over 11.543%
Shots Over 13.528%
Expected shots11.19
On Target Over 3.555%
On Target Over 4.538%
On Target Over 5.524%
Expected on target4.03

Shots per Game

Everton — total shots (home)12.2
Crystal Palace — total shots (away)9.9

Shots on Target

Everton — on target (home)4.3
Crystal Palace — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Everton

Inside the box7.63
Outside the box3.47

Crystal Palace

Inside the box8.5
Outside the box3.13

Player Shots Everton

I. Ndiaye
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target13%
K. Dewsbury-Hall
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target10%
Beto
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target5%
J. Grealish
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target5%
J. Garner
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Crystal Palace

J. Mateta
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target28%
I. Sarr
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target14%
J. Strand Larsen
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target14%
E. Nketiah
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%
D. Muñoz
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Everton xG (home)1.23
Crystal Palace xG (away)1.53

Average Possession

43.63% Possession 45.92%

Team Comparison Everton vs Crystal Palace

79.05% Pass accuracy 77.55%
380.76 Passes per match 392.63
0.05 Goals prevented 0.28
10.82 Fouls committed 10.47
2.63 Goalkeeper saves 2.87
1.58 Offsides 1.92
18.5 Tackles per match 18.55

League average xG this season is 1.4 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Everton vs Crystal Palace prediction analysis

Review Everton vs Crystal Palace with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premier League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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