Prediction Analysis: Excelsior Virton vs K. Lierse S.K.
Excelsior Virton vs K. Lierse S.K. prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Challenger Pro League
2026-08-15
18:00
Excelsior Virton
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
45%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
K. Lierse S.K.
Away
Prediction Summary
1
36%
X
29%
2
35%
Under 2.5
61%
BTTS No
55%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Excelsior Virton (Home)
Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%
K. Lierse S.K. (Away)
Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.19
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate44%
Team Form last 5 matches
K. Lierse S.K.
DWLDL
Goals Comparison rate per team
0%
+0.5
69%
0%
+1.5
19%
0%
+2.5
13%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
0%
BTTS
44%
Model Insight
The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 45%. Model confidence is Medium.
Excelsior Virton averages 0 goals scored at home, while K. Lierse S.K. averages 1 goals scored away.
Model Strength
61%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
36%
Draw
29%
Away Win
35%
Over 2.5
39%
BTTS Yes
45%
Head-to-Head last 5
Nov 2022
Excelsior Virton(A)
2 - 2
K. Lierse S.K.
Draw
Oct 2022
Excelsior Virton
0 - 0
K. Lierse S.K.
Draw
Apr 2022
Excelsior Virton(A)
1 - 1
K. Lierse S.K.
Draw
Dec 2021
Excelsior Virton
2 - 2
K. Lierse S.K.
Draw
Oct 2021
Excelsior Virton
2 - 1
K. Lierse S.K.
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Excelsior Virton won 1, drew 4 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
K. Lierse S.K. — winless run (away)0
K. Lierse S.K. — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Excelsior Virton Win (1)36%
Draw (X)29%
K. Lierse S.K. Win (2)35%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
0%
+0.5
69%
0%
+1.5
19%
0%
+2.5
13%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
100%
-0.5
31%
100%
-1.5
81%
100%
-2.5
87%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Excelsior Virton vs K. Lierse S.K. — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Excelsior Virton — scored (home)0
Excelsior Virton — conceded (home)0
K. Lierse S.K. — scored (away)1
K. Lierse S.K. — conceded (away)1.19
Model expected combined goals2.24
Both Teams To Score
Yes45%
No55%
Rate per Team
Excelsior Virton — BTTS matches (home)0%
K. Lierse S.K. — BTTS matches (away)44%
Combined (simple average)22%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.545%
Under 8.555%
Over 9.533%
Under 9.567%
Over 10.523%
Under 10.577%
Expected total corners (model prediction)8.30
Per-Team Corners own matches
Excelsior Virton (home)
Corners for—
Corners against—
K. Lierse S.K. (away)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
K. Lierse S.K.
9
Cards data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.
Yellow Cards per Team
Excelsior Virton (home)
For—
K. Lierse S.K. (away)
For—
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.568%
Under 19.532%
Over 22.552%
Under 22.548%
Over 25.536%
Under 25.564%
Expected total shots23.42
Excelsior Virton
Shots Over 9.568%
Shots Over 11.550%
Shots Over 13.534%
Expected shots11.93
On Target Over 3.564%
On Target Over 4.545%
On Target Over 5.528%
Expected on target4.42
K. Lierse S.K.
Shots Over 9.565%
Shots Over 11.546%
Shots Over 13.530%
Expected shots11.50
On Target Over 3.561%
On Target Over 4.542%
On Target Over 5.526%
Expected on target4.25
Shots per Game
Excelsior Virton — total shots (home)—
K. Lierse S.K. — total shots (away)—
Shots on Target
Excelsior Virton — on target (home)—
K. Lierse S.K. — on target (away)—
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Excelsior Virton
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
K. Lierse S.K.
Inside the box2
Outside the box3
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.
Expected Goals (xG)
Excelsior Virton xG (home)-
K. Lierse S.K. xG (away)0
Average Possession
-%
Possession
52%
Team Comparison Excelsior Virton vs K. Lierse S.K.
0%
Pass accuracy
77%
-
Passes per match
281
-
Goals prevented
0
-
Fouls committed
7
-
Goalkeeper saves
2
-
Offsides
1
League average xG this season is 1.5 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Excelsior Virton vs K. Lierse S.K. prediction analysis
Review Excelsior Virton vs K. Lierse S.K. with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Challenger Pro League.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Challenger Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights