What markets are included in the Excelsior vs PEC Zwolle prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Excelsior vs PEC Zwolle prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Excelsior vs PEC Zwolle

Excelsior vs PEC Zwolle prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Eredivisie 2025-12-20 17:45

Excelsior

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

64%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

PEC Zwolle

Away

Prediction Summary

51%

22%

27%

Over 2.5

64%

BTTS Yes

64%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Excelsior (Home)

Goals scored / match1.18

Goals conceded / match1.29

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate53%

PEC Zwolle (Away)

Goals scored / match1.35

Goals conceded / match2.94

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate88%

Team Form last 5 matches

Excelsior

WDWWD

PEC Zwolle

LLWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 94%

24% +1.5 41%

6% +2.5 0%

6% +3.5 0%

6% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 88%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 64%. Model confidence is Medium.

Excelsior averages 1.18 goals scored at home, while PEC Zwolle averages 1.35 goals scored away.

Model Strength

64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

51%

Draw

22%

Away Win

27%

Over 2.5

64%

BTTS Yes

64%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Excelsior(A) 2 - 2 PEC Zwolle Draw

Dec 2025 Excelsior 2 - 1 PEC Zwolle Home

Apr 2024 Excelsior(A) 1 - 2 PEC Zwolle Away

Oct 2023 Excelsior 2 - 4 PEC Zwolle Away

Dec 2020 Excelsior 2 - 0 PEC Zwolle Home

In the last 5 meetings, Excelsior won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Excelsior — unbeaten run (home)2

Excelsior — scoring streak (home)2

PEC Zwolle — winless run (away)16

PEC Zwolle — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Excelsior Win (1)51%

Draw (X)22%

PEC Zwolle Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 94%

24% +1.5 41%

6% +2.5 0%

6% +3.5 0%

6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 6%

76% -1.5 59%

94% -2.5 100%

94% -3.5 100%

94% -4.5 100%

Excelsior vs PEC Zwolle — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Excelsior — scored (home)1.18

Excelsior — conceded (home)1.29

PEC Zwolle — scored (away)1.35

PEC Zwolle — conceded (away)2.94

Model expected combined goals3.31

Both Teams To Score

Yes64%

No36%

Rate per Team

Excelsior — BTTS matches (home)53%

PEC Zwolle — BTTS matches (away)88%

Combined (simple average)70.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%

Under 4.56%

Over 5.577%

Under 5.523%

Over 6.571%

Under 6.529%

Over 7.559%

Under 7.541%

Over 8.550%

Under 8.550%

Over 9.538%

Under 9.562%

Over 10.527%

Under 10.573%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Excelsior (home)

Corners for4.2

Corners against4.2

PEC Zwolle (away)

Corners for3.1

Corners against6.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Excelsior

7 5 13 5 7

PEC Zwolle

7 8 6 11 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%

Under 0.56%

Over 1.579%

Under 1.521%

Over 2.559%

Under 2.541%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)2.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Excelsior (home)

For1.5

PEC Zwolle (away)

For1.7

Shots per Game

Excelsior — total shots (home)12.9

PEC Zwolle — total shots (away)9.4

Shots on Target

Excelsior — on target (home)4.4

PEC Zwolle — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Excelsior

Inside the box8.24

Outside the box4.24

PEC Zwolle

Inside the box6.12

Outside the box3.53

Player Shots Excelsior

N. Naujoks

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target19%

D. Sanches Fernandes

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target12%

G. de Regt

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target6%

I. Yegoian

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target6%

M. Jonathans

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots PEC Zwolle

K. Kostons

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target26%

Y. Namli

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target23%

T. Oosting

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target18%

O. Velanas

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target8%

S. Shoretire

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Excelsior xG (home)1.34

PEC Zwolle xG (away)1.19

Average Possession

47.56% Possession 44.94%

Team Comparison Excelsior vs PEC Zwolle

77.47% Pass accuracy 77.53%

404.35 Passes per match 379.68

0.06 Goals prevented -0.25

12.29 Fouls committed 11.53

3.82 Goalkeeper saves 4.09

1.03 Offsides 1.74

14.41 Tackles per match 17.29

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Excelsior vs PEC Zwolle prediction analysis

Review Excelsior vs PEC Zwolle with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Eredivisie.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Eredivisie

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights