Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Eyüpspor vs Fatih Karagümrük

Eyüpspor vs Fatih Karagümrük prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Süper Lig 2025-11-22 14:00
Eyüpspor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
48%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Fatih Karagümrük
Away

Prediction Summary

1
43%
X
26%
2
31%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Eyüpspor (Home)

Goals scored / match1.12
Goals conceded / match1.24
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate41%

Fatih Karagümrük (Away)

Goals scored / match0.76
Goals conceded / match1.82
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Eyüpspor
DWDWW
Fatih Karagümrük
WWWDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 59%
29% +1.5 18%
12% +2.5 0%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
41% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Low.

Eyüpspor averages 1.12 goals scored at home, while Fatih Karagümrük averages 0.76 goals scored away.

Model Strength
52%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
43%
Draw
26%
Away Win
31%
Over 2.5
48%
BTTS Yes
52%

Head-to-Head last 2

Apr 2026 Eyüpspor(A) 2 - 1 Fatih Karagümrük Home
Nov 2025 Eyüpspor 1 - 1 Fatih Karagümrük Draw

In the last 2 meetings, Eyüpspor won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Eyüpspor — unbeaten run (home)2
Eyüpspor — scoring streak (home)3
Fatih Karagümrük — winless run (away)0
Fatih Karagümrük — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Eyüpspor Win (1)43%
Draw (X)26%
Fatih Karagümrük Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 59%
29% +1.5 18%
12% +2.5 0%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 41%
71% -1.5 82%
88% -2.5 100%
94% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Eyüpspor vs Fatih Karagümrük — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Eyüpspor — scored (home)1.12
Eyüpspor — conceded (home)1.24
Fatih Karagümrük — scored (away)0.76
Fatih Karagümrük — conceded (away)1.82
Model expected combined goals2.58

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%
No48%

Rate per Team

Eyüpspor — BTTS matches (home)41%
Fatih Karagümrük — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)47%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.585%
Under 5.515%
Over 6.574%
Under 6.526%
Over 7.559%
Under 7.541%
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.535%
Under 9.565%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Eyüpspor (home)

Corners for3.9
Corners against5.1

Fatih Karagümrük (away)

Corners for4.0
Corners against5.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Eyüpspor
11 11 12 9 6
Fatih Karagümrük
11 7 7 6 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Eyüpspor (home)

For2.4

Fatih Karagümrük (away)

For1.9

Shots per Game

Eyüpspor — total shots (home)11.0
Fatih Karagümrük — total shots (away)10.6

Shots on Target

Eyüpspor — on target (home)4.1
Fatih Karagümrük — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Eyüpspor

Inside the box6.03
Outside the box4.35

Fatih Karagümrük

Inside the box5.79
Outside the box4.65

Player Shots Eyüpspor

M. Thiam
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target14%
U. Bozok
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target22%
M. Altunbaş
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target6%
D. Drăguş
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target17%
E. Akbaba
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Fatih Karagümrük

D. Verde
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%
D. Fofana
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target8%
S. Larsson
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target5%
Serginho
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target9%
T. Çukur
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Eyüpspor xG (home)1.01
Fatih Karagümrük xG (away)1.01

Average Possession

47.97% Possession 45.03%

Team Comparison Eyüpspor vs Fatih Karagümrük

79.68% Pass accuracy 77.85%
377.15 Passes per match 371.29
0.19 Goals prevented 0.11
12.09 Fouls committed 13.56
3.32 Goalkeeper saves 3.67
2.26 Offsides 2.26
16.26 Tackles per match 13.74

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Eyüpspor vs Fatih Karagümrük prediction analysis

Review Eyüpspor vs Fatih Karagümrük with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Süper Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Süper Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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