Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Falkirk vs Dundee Utd

Falkirk vs Dundee Utd prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premiership 2025-08-03 13:00
Falkirk
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
65%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Dundee Utd
Away

Prediction Summary

1
45%
X
23%
2
32%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Yes
65%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Falkirk (Home)

Goals scored / match1.65
Goals conceded / match1.7
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate70%

Dundee Utd (Away)

Goals scored / match1.32
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Falkirk
LLLWL
Dundee Utd
DDLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

85% +0.5 68%
45% +1.5 47%
20% +2.5 16%
10% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%
70% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 65%. Model confidence is Medium.

Falkirk averages 1.65 goals scored at home, while Dundee Utd averages 1.32 goals scored away.

Model Strength
65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
45%
Draw
23%
Away Win
32%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Yes
65%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Falkirk 2 - 1 Dundee Utd Home
Feb 2026 Falkirk 2 - 3 Dundee Utd Away
Nov 2025 Falkirk(A) 3 - 0 Dundee Utd Home
Aug 2025 Falkirk 2 - 2 Dundee Utd Draw
Jul 2024 Falkirk 2 - 0 Dundee Utd Home

In the last 5 meetings, Falkirk won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Falkirk — unbeaten run (home)0
Falkirk — scoring streak (home)9
Dundee Utd — winless run (away)6
Dundee Utd — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Falkirk Win (1)45%
Draw (X)23%
Dundee Utd Win (2)32%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

85% +0.5 68%
45% +1.5 47%
20% +2.5 16%
10% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

15% -0.5 32%
55% -1.5 53%
80% -2.5 84%
90% -3.5 100%
95% -4.5 100%

Falkirk vs Dundee Utd — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Falkirk — scored (home)1.65
Falkirk — conceded (home)1.7
Dundee Utd — scored (away)1.32
Dundee Utd — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals3.33

Both Teams To Score

Yes65%
No35%

Rate per Team

Falkirk — BTTS matches (home)70%
Dundee Utd — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)66.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.574%
Under 6.526%
Over 7.564%
Under 7.536%
Over 8.554%
Under 8.546%
Over 9.539%
Under 9.561%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Falkirk (home)

Corners for4.5
Corners against4.0

Dundee Utd (away)

Corners for3.7
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Falkirk
16 7 11 10 11
Dundee Utd
6 12 6 15 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Falkirk (home)

For1.8

Dundee Utd (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Falkirk — total shots (home)12.5
Dundee Utd — total shots (away)11.8

Shots on Target

Falkirk — on target (home)4.1
Dundee Utd — on target (away)4.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Falkirk

Inside the box7.42
Outside the box4.37

Dundee Utd

Inside the box8.82
Outside the box4.42

Player Shots Falkirk

B. Stewart
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target18%
R. MacIver
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target17%
C. Miller
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target16%
Brian Graham
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target5%
B. Broggio
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Dundee Utd

A. Ahmed Fatah
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target20%
Z. Sapsford
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target11%
M. Watters
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
O. Stirton
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target10%
I. Dolček
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target18%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Falkirk xG (home)1.37
Dundee Utd xG (away)1.21

Average Possession

50.79% Possession 42.26%

Team Comparison Falkirk vs Dundee Utd

76.66% Pass accuracy 68.03%
400.39 Passes per match 314.68
-0.43 Goals prevented -0.18
12.05 Fouls committed 12.89
3.03 Goalkeeper saves 3.32
2.14 Offsides 1.69
18.11 Tackles per match 15.82

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Falkirk vs Dundee Utd prediction analysis

Review Falkirk vs Dundee Utd with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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