Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Falkirk vs Livingston

Falkirk vs Livingston prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premiership 2025-11-08 15:00
Falkirk
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
61%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Livingston
Away

Prediction Summary

1
57%
X
22%
2
22%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Falkirk (Home)

Goals scored / match1.65
Goals conceded / match1.7
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate70%

Livingston (Away)

Goals scored / match0.8
Goals conceded / match1.95
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate45%

Team Form last 5 matches

Falkirk
LLLWL
Livingston
LDLDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

85% +0.5 50%
45% +1.5 30%
20% +2.5 0%
10% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%
70% BTTS 45%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 61%. Model confidence is Medium.

Falkirk averages 1.65 goals scored at home, while Livingston averages 0.8 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
57%
Draw
22%
Away Win
22%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
60%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Falkirk(A) 2 - 1 Livingston Home
Nov 2025 Falkirk 1 - 1 Livingston Draw
Aug 2025 Falkirk(A) 1 - 3 Livingston Away
Mar 2025 Falkirk(A) 0 - 1 Livingston Away
Jan 2025 Falkirk 1 - 2 Livingston Away

In the last 5 meetings, Falkirk won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Falkirk — unbeaten run (home)0
Falkirk — scoring streak (home)9
Livingston — winless run (away)2
Livingston — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Falkirk Win (1)57%
Draw (X)22%
Livingston Win (2)22%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

85% +0.5 50%
45% +1.5 30%
20% +2.5 0%
10% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

15% -0.5 50%
55% -1.5 70%
80% -2.5 100%
90% -3.5 100%
95% -4.5 100%

Falkirk vs Livingston — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Falkirk — scored (home)1.65
Falkirk — conceded (home)1.7
Livingston — scored (away)0.8
Livingston — conceded (away)1.95
Model expected combined goals3.17

Both Teams To Score

Yes60%
No40%

Rate per Team

Falkirk — BTTS matches (home)70%
Livingston — BTTS matches (away)45%
Combined (simple average)57.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.593%
Under 5.57%
Over 6.588%
Under 6.512%
Over 7.573%
Under 7.527%
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.540%
Under 10.560%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Falkirk (home)

Corners for4.5
Corners against4.0

Livingston (away)

Corners for4.1
Corners against6.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Falkirk
16 7 11 10 11
Livingston
15 9 12 15 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.583%
Under 1.517%
Over 2.575%
Under 2.525%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Falkirk (home)

For1.8

Livingston (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Falkirk — total shots (home)12.5
Livingston — total shots (away)9.2

Shots on Target

Falkirk — on target (home)4.1
Livingston — on target (away)2.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Falkirk

Inside the box7.42
Outside the box4.37

Livingston

Inside the box6.29
Outside the box3.53

Player Shots Falkirk

B. Stewart
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target18%
R. MacIver
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target17%
C. Miller
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target16%
Brian Graham
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target5%
B. Broggio
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Livingston

T. Yengi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target11%
S. May
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target6%
R. Muirhead
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target9%
C. McLennan
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
L. Smith
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Falkirk xG (home)1.37
Livingston xG (away)1.09

Average Possession

50.79% Possession 44.97%

Team Comparison Falkirk vs Livingston

76.66% Pass accuracy 73.13%
400.39 Passes per match 372.84
-0.43 Goals prevented 0.11
12.05 Fouls committed 12.89
3.03 Goalkeeper saves 3.05
2.14 Offsides 1.49
18.11 Tackles per match 15.92

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Falkirk vs Livingston prediction analysis

Review Falkirk vs Livingston with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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