Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Falkirk vs Motherwell

Falkirk vs Motherwell prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premiership 2025-12-03 19:45
Falkirk
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
61%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Motherwell
Away

Prediction Summary

1
38%
X
24%
2
38%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
63%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Falkirk (Home)

Goals scored / match1.65
Goals conceded / match1.7
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate70%

Motherwell (Away)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.21
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Falkirk
LLLWL
Motherwell
WLDLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

85% +0.5 74%
45% +1.5 37%
20% +2.5 21%
10% +3.5 5%
5% +4.5 5%
70% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 61%. Model confidence is Medium.

Falkirk averages 1.65 goals scored at home, while Motherwell averages 1.42 goals scored away.

Model Strength
63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
38%
Draw
24%
Away Win
38%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
63%

Head-to-Head last 4

May 2026 Falkirk 1 - 0 Motherwell Home
Apr 2026 Falkirk(A) 3 - 2 Motherwell Home
Dec 2025 Falkirk 0 - 0 Motherwell Draw
Oct 2025 Falkirk(A) 2 - 1 Motherwell Home

In the last 4 meetings, Falkirk won 3, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Falkirk — unbeaten run (home)0
Falkirk — scoring streak (home)9
Motherwell — winless run (away)0
Motherwell — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Falkirk Win (1)38%
Draw (X)24%
Motherwell Win (2)38%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

85% +0.5 74%
45% +1.5 37%
20% +2.5 21%
10% +3.5 5%
5% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

15% -0.5 26%
55% -1.5 63%
80% -2.5 79%
90% -3.5 95%
95% -4.5 95%

Falkirk vs Motherwell — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Falkirk — scored (home)1.65
Falkirk — conceded (home)1.7
Motherwell — scored (away)1.42
Motherwell — conceded (away)1.21
Model expected combined goals3.14

Both Teams To Score

Yes63%
No37%

Rate per Team

Falkirk — BTTS matches (home)70%
Motherwell — BTTS matches (away)58%
Combined (simple average)64%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.585%
Under 5.515%
Over 6.574%
Under 6.526%
Over 7.564%
Under 7.536%
Over 8.552%
Under 8.548%
Over 9.541%
Under 9.559%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Falkirk (home)

Corners for4.5
Corners against4.0

Motherwell (away)

Corners for3.8
Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Falkirk
16 7 11 10 11
Motherwell
12 7 8 7 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.580%
Under 2.520%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Falkirk (home)

For1.8

Motherwell (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Falkirk — total shots (home)12.5
Motherwell — total shots (away)12.3

Shots on Target

Falkirk — on target (home)4.1
Motherwell — on target (away)4.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Falkirk

Inside the box7.42
Outside the box4.37

Motherwell

Inside the box8.5
Outside the box4.68

Player Shots Falkirk

B. Stewart
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target18%
R. MacIver
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target17%
C. Miller
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target16%
Brian Graham
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target5%
B. Broggio
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Motherwell

Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target37%
C. Slattery
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target13%
E. Just
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Stamatelopoulos
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target21%
C. Hendry
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target19%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Falkirk xG (home)1.37
Motherwell xG (away)1.41

Average Possession

50.79% Possession 57.89%

Team Comparison Falkirk vs Motherwell

76.66% Pass accuracy 84.5%
400.39 Passes per match 533
-0.43 Goals prevented -0.06
12.05 Fouls committed 11.66
3.03 Goalkeeper saves 2.63
2.14 Offsides 2.24
18.11 Tackles per match 14.55

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Falkirk vs Motherwell prediction analysis

Review Falkirk vs Motherwell with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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