Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Famalicao vs AVS

Famalicao vs AVS prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-03-30 14:30
Famalicao
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
28%
Confidence
High
Score
1-0
AVS
Away

Prediction Summary

1
47%
X
31%
2
22%
Under 2.5
72%
BTTS No
66%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Famalicao (Home)

Goals scored / match1.18
Goals conceded / match0.71
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate41%

AVS (Away)

Goals scored / match0.78
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate56%

Team Form last 5 matches

Famalicao
WLLDL
AVS
DWLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 67%
29% +1.5 11%
12% +2.5 0%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
41% BTTS 56%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 28%. Model confidence is High.

Famalicao averages 1.18 goals scored at home, while AVS averages 0.78 goals scored away.

Model Strength
72%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
47%
Draw
31%
Away Win
22%
Over 2.5
28%
BTTS Yes
34%

Head-to-Head last 4

Feb 2026 Famalicao 3 - 1 AVS Home
Aug 2025 Famalicao(A) 1 - 0 AVS Home
Mar 2025 Famalicao 4 - 1 AVS Home
Nov 2024 Famalicao(A) 3 - 2 AVS Home

In the last 4 meetings, Famalicao won 4, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Famalicao — unbeaten run (home)8
Famalicao — scoring streak (home)6
AVS — winless run (away)1
AVS — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Famalicao Win (1)47%
Draw (X)31%
AVS Win (2)22%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 67%
29% +1.5 11%
12% +2.5 0%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 33%
71% -1.5 89%
88% -2.5 100%
94% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Famalicao vs AVS — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Famalicao — scored (home)1.18
Famalicao — conceded (home)0.71
AVS — scored (away)0.78
AVS — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals1.85

Both Teams To Score

Yes34%
No66%

Rate per Team

Famalicao — BTTS matches (home)41%
AVS — BTTS matches (away)56%
Combined (simple average)48.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.577%
Under 6.523%
Over 7.564%
Under 7.536%
Over 8.561%
Under 8.539%
Over 9.549%
Under 9.551%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Famalicao (home)

Corners for5.2
Corners against4.8

AVS (away)

Corners for3.7
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Famalicao
9 15 14 9 17
AVS
9 7 6 10 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.591%
Under 2.59%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5

Yellow Cards per Team

Famalicao (home)

For2.1

AVS (away)

For2.9

Shots per Game

Famalicao — total shots (home)11.5
AVS — total shots (away)9.6

Shots on Target

Famalicao — on target (home)3.4
AVS — on target (away)2.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Famalicao

Inside the box6.38
Outside the box5.09

AVS

Inside the box6.03
Outside the box4.17

Player Shots Famalicao

Pedro Francisco
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target17%
S. Elisor
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target7%
Gil Dias
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target17%
Sorriso
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target17%
Z. Youssouf
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots AVS

Samuel Granada
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Zé Luís
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target12%
B. Akinsola
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target9%
Vasco Lopes
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target8%
Nenê
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Famalicao xG (home)1.14
AVS xG (away)0.89

Average Possession

50.38% Possession 42.81%

Team Comparison Famalicao vs AVS

79.24% Pass accuracy 76.78%
397 Passes per match 347.36
0.14 Goals prevented -0.09
14 Fouls committed 14.08
3.06 Goalkeeper saves 3.65
1.18 Offsides 1.5
16.44 Tackles per match 16.25

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Famalicao vs AVS prediction analysis

Review Famalicao vs AVS with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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