Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Famalicao vs Estoril

Famalicao vs Estoril prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-04-12 14:30
Famalicao
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
44%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Estoril
Away

Prediction Summary

1
43%
X
27%
2
30%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS No
51%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Famalicao (Home)

Goals scored / match1.18
Goals conceded / match0.71
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate41%

Estoril (Away)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.76
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate59%

Team Form last 5 matches

Famalicao
WLLDL
Estoril
WDLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 65%
29% +1.5 53%
12% +2.5 24%
6% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%
41% BTTS 59%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 44%. Model confidence is Medium.

Famalicao averages 1.18 goals scored at home, while Estoril averages 1.47 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
43%
Draw
27%
Away Win
30%
Over 2.5
44%
BTTS Yes
49%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Famalicao(A) 1 - 0 Estoril Home
Dec 2025 Famalicao 4 - 0 Estoril Home
Nov 2025 Famalicao(A) 2 - 1 Estoril Home
Apr 2025 Famalicao 3 - 0 Estoril Home
Dec 2024 Famalicao(A) 1 - 2 Estoril Away

In the last 5 meetings, Famalicao won 4, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Famalicao — unbeaten run (home)8
Famalicao — scoring streak (home)6
Estoril — winless run (away)1
Estoril — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Famalicao Win (1)43%
Draw (X)27%
Estoril Win (2)30%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 65%
29% +1.5 53%
12% +2.5 24%
6% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 35%
71% -1.5 47%
88% -2.5 76%
94% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 100%

Famalicao vs Estoril — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Famalicao — scored (home)1.18
Famalicao — conceded (home)0.71
Estoril — scored (away)1.47
Estoril — conceded (away)1.76
Model expected combined goals2.43

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%
No51%

Rate per Team

Famalicao — BTTS matches (home)41%
Estoril — BTTS matches (away)59%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.591%
Under 5.59%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.568%
Under 7.532%
Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.544%
Under 9.556%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Famalicao (home)

Corners for5.2
Corners against4.8

Estoril (away)

Corners for3.8
Corners against5.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Famalicao
9 15 14 9 17
Estoril
3 8 6 9 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.580%
Under 2.520%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Famalicao (home)

For2.1

Estoril (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Famalicao — total shots (home)11.5
Estoril — total shots (away)9.7

Shots on Target

Famalicao — on target (home)3.4
Estoril — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Famalicao

Inside the box6.38
Outside the box5.09

Estoril

Inside the box5.38
Outside the box4.53

Player Shots Famalicao

Pedro Francisco
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target17%
S. Elisor
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target7%
Gil Dias
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target17%
Sorriso
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target17%
Z. Youssouf
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots Estoril

André Lacximicant
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target11%
Xeka
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target7%
Y. Begraoui
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target12%
Fabrício Garcia
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target4%
K. Boma
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Famalicao xG (home)1.14
Estoril xG (away)1.17

Average Possession

50.38% Possession 49.06%

Team Comparison Famalicao vs Estoril

79.24% Pass accuracy 79.91%
397 Passes per match 404.68
0.14 Goals prevented -0.05
14 Fouls committed 15.88
3.06 Goalkeeper saves 2.79
1.18 Offsides 1.24
16.44 Tackles per match 15.62

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Famalicao vs Estoril prediction analysis

Review Famalicao vs Estoril with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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