Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Famalicao vs Guimaraes

Famalicao vs Guimaraes prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-02-08 20:30
Famalicao
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
28%
Confidence
High
Score
0-0
Guimaraes
Away

Prediction Summary

1
32%
X
32%
2
35%
Under 2.5
72%
BTTS No
64%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Famalicao (Home)

Goals scored / match1.18
Goals conceded / match0.71
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate41%

Guimaraes (Away)

Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match1.06
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Famalicao
WLLDL
Guimaraes
LLWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 65%
29% +1.5 41%
12% +2.5 0%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
41% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 28%. Model confidence is High.

Famalicao averages 1.18 goals scored at home, while Guimaraes averages 1.06 goals scored away.

Model Strength
72%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
32%
Draw
32%
Away Win
35%
Over 2.5
28%
BTTS Yes
36%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Famalicao(A) 2 - 1 Guimaraes Home
Oct 2025 Famalicao 2 - 0 Guimaraes Home
Feb 2025 Famalicao 0 - 0 Guimaraes Draw
Sep 2024 Famalicao(A) 1 - 2 Guimaraes Away
Mar 2024 Famalicao(A) 0 - 1 Guimaraes Away

In the last 5 meetings, Famalicao won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Famalicao — unbeaten run (home)8
Famalicao — scoring streak (home)6
Guimaraes — winless run (away)1
Guimaraes — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Famalicao Win (1)32%
Draw (X)32%
Guimaraes Win (2)35%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 65%
29% +1.5 41%
12% +2.5 0%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 35%
71% -1.5 59%
88% -2.5 100%
94% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Famalicao vs Guimaraes — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Famalicao — scored (home)1.18
Famalicao — conceded (home)0.71
Guimaraes — scored (away)1.06
Guimaraes — conceded (away)1.06
Model expected combined goals1.85

Both Teams To Score

Yes36%
No64%

Rate per Team

Famalicao — BTTS matches (home)41%
Guimaraes — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)44%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.591%
Under 5.59%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Famalicao (home)

Corners for5.2
Corners against4.8

Guimaraes (away)

Corners for5.5
Corners against4.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Famalicao
9 15 14 9 17
Guimaraes
10 10 9 19 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.591%
Under 2.59%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Famalicao (home)

For2.1

Guimaraes (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Famalicao — total shots (home)11.5
Guimaraes — total shots (away)11.6

Shots on Target

Famalicao — on target (home)3.4
Guimaraes — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Famalicao

Inside the box6.38
Outside the box5.09

Guimaraes

Inside the box8.26
Outside the box5

Player Shots Famalicao

Pedro Francisco
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target17%
S. Elisor
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target7%
Gil Dias
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target17%
Sorriso
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target17%
Z. Youssouf
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots Guimaraes

Ricardo Mangas
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Vando Félix
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target6%
T. Borevković
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target4%
Gustavo
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
Nuno Santos
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target15%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Famalicao xG (home)1.14
Guimaraes xG (away)1.22

Average Possession

50.38% Possession 56.91%

Team Comparison Famalicao vs Guimaraes

79.24% Pass accuracy 83.32%
397 Passes per match 461.03
0.14 Goals prevented -0.08
14 Fouls committed 14.59
3.06 Goalkeeper saves 1.94
1.18 Offsides 1.62
16.44 Tackles per match 15.53

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Famalicao vs Guimaraes prediction analysis

Review Famalicao vs Guimaraes with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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