Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Farense vs AVS

Farense vs AVS prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-03-02 18:00
Farense
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
41%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
AVS
Away

Prediction Summary

1
35%
X
28%
2
37%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS No
53%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Farense (Home)

Goals scored / match0.59
Goals conceded / match1.41
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate35%

AVS (Away)

Goals scored / match0.78
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate56%

Team Form last 5 matches

Farense
LWWLL
AVS
DWLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

47% +0.5 67%
12% +1.5 11%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
35% BTTS 56%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 41%. Model confidence is Medium.

Farense averages 0.59 goals scored at home, while AVS averages 0.78 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
35%
Draw
28%
Away Win
37%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS Yes
47%

Head-to-Head last 2

Mar 2025 Farense 0 - 1 AVS Away
Sep 2024 Farense(A) 0 - 0 AVS Draw

In the last 2 meetings, Farense won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Farense — unbeaten run (home)0
Farense — scoring streak (home)2
AVS — winless run (away)1
AVS — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Farense Win (1)35%
Draw (X)28%
AVS Win (2)37%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

47% +0.5 67%
12% +1.5 11%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

53% -0.5 33%
88% -1.5 89%
100% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Farense vs AVS — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Farense — scored (home)0.59
Farense — conceded (home)1.41
AVS — scored (away)0.78
AVS — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals2.32

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%
No53%

Rate per Team

Farense — BTTS matches (home)35%
AVS — BTTS matches (away)56%
Combined (simple average)45.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.580%
Under 6.520%
Over 7.569%
Under 7.531%
Over 8.564%
Under 8.536%
Over 9.549%
Under 9.551%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Farense (home)

Corners for6.2
Corners against4.7

AVS (away)

Corners for3.7
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Farense
8 5 14 19 9
AVS
9 7 6 10 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.594%
Under 2.56%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Farense (home)

For2.7

AVS (away)

For2.9

Shots per Game

Farense — total shots (home)12.9
AVS — total shots (away)9.6

Shots on Target

Farense — on target (home)3.4
AVS — on target (away)2.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Farense

Inside the box6.65
Outside the box4.68

AVS

Inside the box6.03
Outside the box4.17

Player Shots Farense

Y. Njie
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target7%
M. Belloumi
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target67%
Rony Lopes
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target21%
Darío Poveda
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target5%
Tómané
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots AVS

Samuel Granada
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Zé Luís
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target12%
B. Akinsola
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target9%
Vasco Lopes
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target8%
Nenê
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Farense xG (home)0.9
AVS xG (away)0.89

Average Possession

40.79% Possession 42.81%

Team Comparison Farense vs AVS

71.71% Pass accuracy 76.78%
293.85 Passes per match 347.36
0.28 Goals prevented -0.09
15.21 Fouls committed 14.08
3.09 Goalkeeper saves 3.65
1.97 Offsides 1.5
17.56 Tackles per match 16.25

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Farense vs AVS prediction analysis

Review Farense vs AVS with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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