Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Farense vs Benfica

Farense vs Benfica prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2024-11-02 18:00
Farense
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
43%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Benfica
Away

Prediction Summary

1
17%
X
24%
2
59%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS No
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Farense (Home)

Goals scored / match0.59
Goals conceded / match1.41
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate35%

Benfica (Away)

Goals scored / match1.88
Goals conceded / match0.94
Over 2.5 rate35%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Farense
LWWLL
Benfica
DDWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

47% +0.5 88%
12% +1.5 59%
0% +2.5 35%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%
35% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 43%. Model confidence is Medium.

Farense averages 0.59 goals scored at home, while Benfica averages 1.88 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
17%
Draw
24%
Away Win
59%
Over 2.5
43%
BTTS Yes
43%

Head-to-Head last 5

Dec 2025 Farense 0 - 2 Benfica Away
Apr 2025 Farense(A) 2 - 3 Benfica Away
Jan 2025 Farense 1 - 3 Benfica Away
Nov 2024 Farense 1 - 2 Benfica Away
Apr 2024 Farense 1 - 3 Benfica Away

In the last 5 meetings, Farense won 0, drew 0 and lost 5.

Current Streaks

Farense — unbeaten run (home)0
Farense — scoring streak (home)2
Benfica — winless run (away)1
Benfica — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Farense Win (1)17%
Draw (X)24%
Benfica Win (2)59%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

47% +0.5 88%
12% +1.5 59%
0% +2.5 35%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

53% -0.5 12%
88% -1.5 41%
100% -2.5 65%
100% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 100%

Farense vs Benfica — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Farense — scored (home)0.59
Farense — conceded (home)1.41
Benfica — scored (away)1.88
Benfica — conceded (away)0.94
Model expected combined goals2.42

Both Teams To Score

Yes43%
No57%

Rate per Team

Farense — BTTS matches (home)35%
Benfica — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)44%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.597%
Under 5.53%
Over 6.588%
Under 6.512%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Farense (home)

Corners for6.2
Corners against4.7

Benfica (away)

Corners for6.4
Corners against2.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Farense
8 5 14 19 9
Benfica
10 14 6 8 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.588%
Under 2.512%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Farense (home)

For2.7

Benfica (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Farense — total shots (home)12.9
Benfica — total shots (away)14.7

Shots on Target

Farense — on target (home)3.4
Benfica — on target (away)5.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Farense

Inside the box6.65
Outside the box4.68

Benfica

Inside the box10.65
Outside the box6.21

Player Shots Farense

Y. Njie
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target7%
M. Belloumi
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target67%
Rony Lopes
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target21%
Darío Poveda
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target5%
Tómané
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Benfica

A. Belotti
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target21%
Tiago Gouveia
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target50%
Z. Amdouni
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target25%
Arthur Cabral
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
Á. Di María
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target20%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Farense xG (home)0.9
Benfica xG (away)2.23

Average Possession

40.79% Possession 58.38%

Team Comparison Farense vs Benfica

71.71% Pass accuracy 84.06%
293.85 Passes per match 501.68
0.28 Goals prevented -0.07
15.21 Fouls committed 11.76
3.09 Goalkeeper saves 2.29
1.97 Offsides 3.11
17.56 Tackles per match 18.65

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Farense vs Benfica prediction analysis

Review Farense vs Benfica with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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