Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Farense vs Boavista

Farense vs Boavista prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Primeira Liga 2025-04-18 14:30
Farense
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
38%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Boavista
Away

Prediction Summary

1
34%
X
29%
2
37%
Under 2.5
62%
BTTS No
55%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Farense (Home)

Goals scored / match0.59
Goals conceded / match1.41
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate35%

Boavista (Away)

Goals scored / match0.94
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Farense
LWWLL
Boavista
LLWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

47% +0.5 59%
12% +1.5 35%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
35% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 38%. Model confidence is Medium.

Farense averages 0.59 goals scored at home, while Boavista averages 0.94 goals scored away.

Model Strength
62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
34%
Draw
29%
Away Win
37%
Over 2.5
38%
BTTS Yes
45%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2025 Farense 0 - 1 Boavista Away
Dec 2024 Farense(A) 1 - 1 Boavista Draw
Apr 2024 Farense 2 - 0 Boavista Home
Nov 2023 Farense(A) 3 - 1 Boavista Home
Mar 2021 Farense(A) 1 - 0 Boavista Home

In the last 5 meetings, Farense won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Farense — unbeaten run (home)0
Farense — scoring streak (home)2
Boavista — winless run (away)1
Boavista — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Farense Win (1)34%
Draw (X)29%
Boavista Win (2)37%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

47% +0.5 59%
12% +1.5 35%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

53% -0.5 41%
88% -1.5 65%
100% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Farense vs Boavista — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Farense — scored (home)0.59
Farense — conceded (home)1.41
Boavista — scored (away)0.94
Boavista — conceded (away)1.65
Model expected combined goals2.21

Both Teams To Score

Yes45%
No55%

Rate per Team

Farense — BTTS matches (home)35%
Boavista — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)38%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.591%
Under 5.59%
Over 6.585%
Under 6.515%
Over 7.582%
Under 7.518%
Over 8.571%
Under 8.529%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.547%
Under 10.553%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Farense (home)

Corners for6.2
Corners against4.7

Boavista (away)

Corners for3.2
Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Farense
8 5 14 19 9
Boavista
8 8 9 4 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.594%
Under 2.56%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Farense (home)

For2.7

Boavista (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Farense — total shots (home)12.9
Boavista — total shots (away)9.2

Shots on Target

Farense — on target (home)3.4
Boavista — on target (away)3.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Farense

Inside the box6.65
Outside the box4.68

Boavista

Inside the box6.09
Outside the box4.32

Player Shots Farense

Y. Njie
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target7%
M. Belloumi
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target67%
Rony Lopes
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target21%
Darío Poveda
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target5%
Tómané
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Boavista

Manuel Namora
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target13%
R. Boženík
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target24%
Joel da Silva
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target7%
A. Diaby
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target8%
Miguel Reisinho
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Farense xG (home)0.9
Boavista xG (away)0.96

Average Possession

40.79% Possession 39.79%

Team Comparison Farense vs Boavista

71.71% Pass accuracy 73.29%
293.85 Passes per match 315.88
0.28 Goals prevented 0.24
15.21 Fouls committed 12.74
3.09 Goalkeeper saves 3.5
1.97 Offsides 2.53
17.56 Tackles per match 16.82

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Farense vs Boavista prediction analysis

Review Farense vs Boavista with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top