What markets are included in the Farense vs Casa Pia prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Farense vs Casa Pia prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Farense vs Casa Pia

Farense vs Casa Pia prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-04-07 17:45

Farense

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

45%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Casa Pia

Away

Prediction Summary

31%

27%

42%

Under 2.5

55%

BTTS · No edge

50%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Farense (Home)

Goals scored / match0.59

Goals conceded / match1.41

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate35%

Casa Pia (Away)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match1.47

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Farense

LWWLL

Casa Pia

LWDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

47% +0.5 65%

12% +1.5 29%

0% +2.5 6%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

35% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 45%. Model confidence is Medium.

Farense averages 0.59 goals scored at home, while Casa Pia averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength

55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

31%

Draw

27%

Away Win

42%

Over 2.5

45%

BTTS Yes

50%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2025 Farense 0 - 0 Casa Pia Draw

Nov 2024 Farense(A) 1 - 1 Casa Pia Draw

Jan 2024 Farense(A) 3 - 1 Casa Pia Home

Aug 2023 Farense 0 - 3 Casa Pia Away

Apr 2022 Farense(A) 0 - 1 Casa Pia Away

In the last 5 meetings, Farense won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Farense — unbeaten run (home)0

Farense — scoring streak (home)2

Casa Pia — winless run (away)8

Casa Pia — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Farense Win (1)31%

Draw (X)27%

Casa Pia Win (2)42%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

47% +0.5 65%

12% +1.5 29%

0% +2.5 6%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

53% -0.5 35%

88% -1.5 71%

100% -2.5 94%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Farense vs Casa Pia — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Farense — scored (home)0.59

Farense — conceded (home)1.41

Casa Pia — scored (away)1

Casa Pia — conceded (away)1.47

Model expected combined goals2.46

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%

No50%

Rate per Team

Farense — BTTS matches (home)35%

Casa Pia — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)44%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.591%

Under 5.59%

Over 6.585%

Under 6.515%

Over 7.574%

Under 7.526%

Over 8.565%

Under 8.535%

Over 9.541%

Under 9.559%

Over 10.541%

Under 10.559%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Farense (home)

Corners for6.2

Corners against4.7

Casa Pia (away)

Corners for3.3

Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Farense

8 5 14 19 9

Casa Pia

7 8 5 9 17

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.594%

Under 1.56%

Over 2.591%

Under 2.59%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Farense (home)

For2.7

Casa Pia (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Farense — total shots (home)12.9

Casa Pia — total shots (away)8.1

Shots on Target

Farense — on target (home)3.4

Casa Pia — on target (away)2.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Farense

Inside the box6.65

Outside the box4.68

Casa Pia

Inside the box5.59

Outside the box3.76

Player Shots Farense

Y. Njie

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target21%

+1.5 On Target7%

M. Belloumi

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target100%

+1.5 On Target67%

Rony Lopes

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target21%

Darío Poveda

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target5%

Tómané

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Casa Pia

Max Svensson

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target17%

Nuno Moreira

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target19%

Henrique Pereira

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target4%

Cassiano

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target12%

Leonardo Lelo

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target19%

+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Farense xG (home)0.9

Casa Pia xG (away)0.9

Average Possession

40.79% Possession 46.65%

Team Comparison Farense vs Casa Pia

71.71% Pass accuracy 76.68%

293.85 Passes per match 363.74

0.28 Goals prevented 0.09

15.21 Fouls committed 14.82

3.09 Goalkeeper saves 3.64

1.97 Offsides 1.32

17.56 Tackles per match 14.71

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Farense vs Casa Pia prediction analysis

Review Farense vs Casa Pia with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights