What markets are included in the Farense vs Moreirense prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Farense vs Moreirense prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Farense vs Moreirense

Farense vs Moreirense prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2024-08-11 17:00

Farense

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

44%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Moreirense

Away

Prediction Summary

33%

27%

40%

Under 2.5

56%

BTTS · No edge

50%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Farense (Home)

Goals scored / match0.59

Goals conceded / match1.41

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate35%

Moreirense (Away)

Goals scored / match1.18

Goals conceded / match1.71

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate59%

Team Form last 5 matches

Farense

LWWLL

Moreirense

WDLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

47% +0.5 76%

12% +1.5 35%

0% +2.5 6%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

35% BTTS 59%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 44%. Model confidence is Medium.

Farense averages 0.59 goals scored at home, while Moreirense averages 1.18 goals scored away.

Model Strength

56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

33%

Draw

27%

Away Win

40%

Over 2.5

44%

BTTS Yes

50%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2025 Farense(A) 0 - 0 Moreirense Draw

Aug 2024 Farense 1 - 2 Moreirense Away

Feb 2024 Farense 0 - 1 Moreirense Away

Sep 2023 Farense(A) 0 - 1 Moreirense Away

Jul 2023 Farense(A) 1 - 1 Moreirense Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Farense won 0, drew 2 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Farense — unbeaten run (home)0

Farense — scoring streak (home)2

Moreirense — winless run (away)0

Moreirense — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Farense Win (1)33%

Draw (X)27%

Moreirense Win (2)40%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

47% +0.5 76%

12% +1.5 35%

0% +2.5 6%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

53% -0.5 24%

88% -1.5 65%

100% -2.5 94%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Farense vs Moreirense — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Farense — scored (home)0.59

Farense — conceded (home)1.41

Moreirense — scored (away)1.18

Moreirense — conceded (away)1.71

Model expected combined goals2.44

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%

No50%

Rate per Team

Farense — BTTS matches (home)35%

Moreirense — BTTS matches (away)59%

Combined (simple average)47%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.597%

Under 5.53%

Over 6.582%

Under 6.518%

Over 7.568%

Under 7.532%

Over 8.559%

Under 8.541%

Over 9.538%

Under 9.562%

Over 10.538%

Under 10.562%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Farense (home)

Corners for6.2

Corners against4.7

Moreirense (away)

Corners for3.1

Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Farense

8 5 14 19 9

Moreirense

6 7 11 9 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.588%

Under 2.512%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5

Yellow Cards per Team

Farense (home)

For2.7

Moreirense (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Farense — total shots (home)12.9

Moreirense — total shots (away)10.0

Shots on Target

Farense — on target (home)3.4

Moreirense — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Farense

Inside the box6.65

Outside the box4.68

Moreirense

Inside the box5.76

Outside the box4.47

Player Shots Farense

M. Belloumi

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target100%

+1.5 On Target67%

Y. Njie

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target21%

+1.5 On Target7%

Rony Lopes

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target21%

Darío Poveda

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target5%

Tómané

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Moreirense

Dinis Pinto

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target15%

+1.5 On Target7%

Madson

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target21%

Guilherme Schettine

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target17%

Luís Asué

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target16%

Alan

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Farense xG (home)0.9

Moreirense xG (away)0.92

Average Possession

40.79% Possession 47.47%

Team Comparison Farense vs Moreirense

71.71% Pass accuracy 79.97%

293.85 Passes per match 384.35

0.28 Goals prevented -0.27

15.21 Fouls committed 14.59

3.09 Goalkeeper saves 2.59

1.97 Offsides 1.75

17.56 Tackles per match 16.35

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Farense vs Moreirense prediction analysis

Review Farense vs Moreirense with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights