What markets are included in the Farense vs Nacional prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Farense vs Nacional prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Farense vs Nacional

Farense vs Nacional prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-02-09 15:30

Farense

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

37%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Nacional

Away

Prediction Summary

35%

29%

35%

Under 2.5

63%

BTTS No

56%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Farense (Home)

Goals scored / match0.59

Goals conceded / match1.41

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate35%

Nacional (Away)

Goals scored / match0.53

Goals conceded / match1.35

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate29%

Team Form last 5 matches

Farense

LWWLL

Nacional

LDLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

47% +0.5 41%

12% +1.5 12%

0% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

35% BTTS 29%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 37%. Model confidence is Medium.

Farense averages 0.59 goals scored at home, while Nacional averages 0.53 goals scored away.

Model Strength

63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

35%

Draw

29%

Away Win

35%

Over 2.5

37%

BTTS Yes

44%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2025 Farense 0 - 2 Nacional Away

Sep 2024 Farense(A) 0 - 2 Nacional Away

May 2023 Farense(A) 1 - 0 Nacional Home

Jan 2023 Farense 1 - 0 Nacional Home

Apr 2022 Farense(A) 2 - 3 Nacional Away

In the last 5 meetings, Farense won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Farense — unbeaten run (home)0

Farense — scoring streak (home)2

Nacional — winless run (away)2

Nacional — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Farense Win (1)35%

Draw (X)29%

Nacional Win (2)35%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

47% +0.5 41%

12% +1.5 12%

0% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

53% -0.5 59%

88% -1.5 88%

100% -2.5 100%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Farense vs Nacional — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Farense — scored (home)0.59

Farense — conceded (home)1.41

Nacional — scored (away)0.53

Nacional — conceded (away)1.35

Model expected combined goals2.17

Both Teams To Score

Yes44%

No56%

Rate per Team

Farense — BTTS matches (home)35%

Nacional — BTTS matches (away)29%

Combined (simple average)32%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.5100%

Under 5.50%

Over 6.591%

Under 6.59%

Over 7.579%

Under 7.521%

Over 8.565%

Under 8.535%

Over 9.553%

Under 9.547%

Over 10.550%

Under 10.550%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Farense (home)

Corners for6.2

Corners against4.7

Nacional (away)

Corners for4.5

Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Farense

8 5 14 19 9

Nacional

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.580%

Under 2.520%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Farense (home)

For2.7

Nacional (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Farense — total shots (home)12.9

Nacional — total shots (away)12.3

Shots on Target

Farense — on target (home)3.4

Nacional — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Farense

Inside the box6.65

Outside the box4.68

Nacional

Inside the box7.21

Outside the box6.15

Player Shots Farense

Y. Njie

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target21%

+1.5 On Target7%

M. Belloumi

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target100%

+1.5 On Target67%

Rony Lopes

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target21%

Darío Poveda

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target5%

Tómané

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Nacional

Dudu

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target14%

Paulinho Bóia

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target13%

N. Thomas

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target11%

Daniel Penha

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target13%

Rúben Macedo

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Farense xG (home)0.9

Nacional xG (away)1.03

Average Possession

40.79% Possession 47.29%

Team Comparison Farense vs Nacional

71.71% Pass accuracy 76.94%

293.85 Passes per match 339.32

0.28 Goals prevented 0

15.21 Fouls committed 13.5

3.09 Goalkeeper saves 3.15

1.97 Offsides 1.65

17.56 Tackles per match 15.94

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Farense vs Nacional prediction analysis

Review Farense vs Nacional with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights