Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Farense vs Santa Clara

Farense vs Santa Clara prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Primeira Liga 2025-05-17 17:00
Farense
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
32%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Santa Clara
Away

Prediction Summary

1
25%
X
30%
2
45%
Under 2.5
68%
BTTS No
61%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Farense (Home)

Goals scored / match0.59
Goals conceded / match1.41
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate35%

Santa Clara (Away)

Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match1.06
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Farense
LWWLL
Santa Clara
WWDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

47% +0.5 65%
12% +1.5 29%
0% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%
35% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 32%. Model confidence is Medium.

Farense averages 0.59 goals scored at home, while Santa Clara averages 1.06 goals scored away.

Model Strength
68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
25%
Draw
30%
Away Win
45%
Over 2.5
32%
BTTS Yes
39%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2025 Farense 1 - 2 Santa Clara Away
Jan 2025 Farense(A) 0 - 0 Santa Clara Draw
Aug 2021 Farense 0 - 0 Santa Clara Draw
May 2021 Farense(A) 0 - 4 Santa Clara Away
Feb 2021 Farense 1 - 1 Santa Clara Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Farense won 0, drew 3 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Farense — unbeaten run (home)0
Farense — scoring streak (home)2
Santa Clara — winless run (away)0
Santa Clara — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Farense Win (1)25%
Draw (X)30%
Santa Clara Win (2)45%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

47% +0.5 65%
12% +1.5 29%
0% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

53% -0.5 35%
88% -1.5 71%
100% -2.5 94%
100% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 100%

Farense vs Santa Clara — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Farense — scored (home)0.59
Farense — conceded (home)1.41
Santa Clara — scored (away)1.06
Santa Clara — conceded (away)1.06
Model expected combined goals2

Both Teams To Score

Yes39%
No61%

Rate per Team

Farense — BTTS matches (home)35%
Santa Clara — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)41%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.591%
Under 5.59%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.536%
Under 9.564%
Over 10.530%
Under 10.570%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Farense (home)

Corners for6.2
Corners against4.7

Santa Clara (away)

Corners for3.2
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Farense
8 5 14 19 9
Santa Clara
10 8 8 9 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.597%
Under 2.53%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Farense (home)

For2.7

Santa Clara (away)

For3.6

Shots per Game

Farense — total shots (home)12.9
Santa Clara — total shots (away)9.2

Shots on Target

Farense — on target (home)3.4
Santa Clara — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Farense

Inside the box6.65
Outside the box4.68

Santa Clara

Inside the box6.97
Outside the box4.21

Player Shots Farense

Y. Njie
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target7%
M. Belloumi
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target67%
Rony Lopes
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target21%
Darío Poveda
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target5%
Tómané
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Santa Clara

Wendel
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
Serginho
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target3%
Ricardinho
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target11%
Gabriel Silva
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target12%
Vinícius Lopes
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Farense xG (home)0.9
Santa Clara xG (away)1.24

Average Possession

40.79% Possession 44.47%

Team Comparison Farense vs Santa Clara

71.71% Pass accuracy 74.5%
293.85 Passes per match 340
0.28 Goals prevented 0.13
15.21 Fouls committed 16.62
3.09 Goalkeeper saves 2.48
1.97 Offsides 1.97
17.56 Tackles per match 16.29

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Farense vs Santa Clara prediction analysis

Review Farense vs Santa Clara with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top