Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Farense vs SC Braga

Farense vs SC Braga prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-03-15 15:30
Farense
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
33%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
SC Braga
Away

Prediction Summary

1
15%
X
27%
2
59%
Under 2.5
67%
BTTS No
66%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Farense (Home)

Goals scored / match0.59
Goals conceded / match1.41
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate35%

SC Braga (Away)

Goals scored / match1.29
Goals conceded / match0.65
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Farense
LWWLL
SC Braga
DLDDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

47% +0.5 88%
12% +1.5 35%
0% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
35% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 33%. Model confidence is Medium.

Farense averages 0.59 goals scored at home, while SC Braga averages 1.29 goals scored away.

Model Strength
67%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
15%
Draw
27%
Away Win
59%
Over 2.5
33%
BTTS Yes
34%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2025 Farense 0 - 1 SC Braga Away
Oct 2024 Farense(A) 0 - 2 SC Braga Away
Feb 2024 Farense(A) 1 - 2 SC Braga Away
Sep 2023 Farense 3 - 1 SC Braga Home
Apr 2021 Farense 1 - 2 SC Braga Away

In the last 5 meetings, Farense won 1, drew 0 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Farense — unbeaten run (home)0
Farense — scoring streak (home)2
SC Braga — winless run (away)2
SC Braga — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Farense Win (1)15%
Draw (X)27%
SC Braga Win (2)59%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

47% +0.5 88%
12% +1.5 35%
0% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

53% -0.5 12%
88% -1.5 65%
100% -2.5 94%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Farense vs SC Braga — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Farense — scored (home)0.59
Farense — conceded (home)1.41
SC Braga — scored (away)1.29
SC Braga — conceded (away)0.65
Model expected combined goals2.04

Both Teams To Score

Yes34%
No66%

Rate per Team

Farense — BTTS matches (home)35%
SC Braga — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)41%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.591%
Under 4.59%
Over 5.591%
Under 5.59%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.571%
Under 8.529%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Farense (home)

Corners for6.2
Corners against4.7

SC Braga (away)

Corners for5.2
Corners against4.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Farense
8 5 14 19 9
SC Braga
3 15 8 9 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.591%
Under 2.59%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Farense (home)

For2.7

SC Braga (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Farense — total shots (home)12.9
SC Braga — total shots (away)12.5

Shots on Target

Farense — on target (home)3.4
SC Braga — on target (away)4.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Farense

Inside the box6.65
Outside the box4.68

SC Braga

Inside the box8.97
Outside the box4.71

Player Shots Farense

M. Belloumi
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target67%
Y. Njie
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target7%
Rony Lopes
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target21%
Darío Poveda
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target5%
Tómané
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots SC Braga

Bruma
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target24%
Gabri Martínez
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target17%
R. Zalazar
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target16%
Roger Fernandes
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target14%
A. El Ouazzani
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target15%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Farense xG (home)0.9
SC Braga xG (away)1.5

Average Possession

40.79% Possession 56.94%

Team Comparison Farense vs SC Braga

71.71% Pass accuracy 82.91%
293.85 Passes per match 500.94
0.28 Goals prevented 0.15
15.21 Fouls committed 14.21
3.09 Goalkeeper saves 2.79
1.97 Offsides 2
17.56 Tackles per match 16.74

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Farense vs SC Braga prediction analysis

Review Farense vs SC Braga with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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