Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Farense vs Sporting CP

Farense vs Sporting CP prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2024-08-23 19:15
Farense
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
54%
Confidence
High
Score
0-2
Sporting CP
Away

Prediction Summary

1
11%
X
19%
2
70%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS No
55%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Farense (Home)

Goals scored / match0.59
Goals conceded / match1.41
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate35%

Sporting CP (Away)

Goals scored / match2.82
Goals conceded / match0.82
Over 2.5 rate65%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Farense
LWWLL
Sporting CP
WDWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

47% +0.5 94%
12% +1.5 71%
0% +2.5 65%
0% +3.5 29%
0% +4.5 18%
35% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is High.

Farense averages 0.59 goals scored at home, while Sporting CP averages 2.82 goals scored away.

Model Strength
70%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
11%
Draw
19%
Away Win
70%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
45%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2025 Farense(A) 1 - 3 Sporting CP Away
Aug 2024 Farense 0 - 5 Sporting CP Away
Mar 2024 Farense(A) 2 - 3 Sporting CP Away
Nov 2023 Farense(A) 2 - 4 Sporting CP Away
Sep 2023 Farense 2 - 3 Sporting CP Away

In the last 5 meetings, Farense won 0, drew 0 and lost 5.

Current Streaks

Farense — unbeaten run (home)0
Farense — scoring streak (home)2
Sporting CP — winless run (away)1
Sporting CP — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Farense Win (1)11%
Draw (X)19%
Sporting CP Win (2)70%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

47% +0.5 94%
12% +1.5 71%
0% +2.5 65%
0% +3.5 29%
0% +4.5 18%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

53% -0.5 6%
88% -1.5 29%
100% -2.5 35%
100% -3.5 71%
100% -4.5 82%

Farense vs Sporting CP — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Farense — scored (home)0.59
Farense — conceded (home)1.41
Sporting CP — scored (away)2.82
Sporting CP — conceded (away)0.82
Model expected combined goals2.82

Both Teams To Score

Yes45%
No55%

Rate per Team

Farense — BTTS matches (home)35%
Sporting CP — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)41%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.538%
Under 9.562%
Over 10.533%
Under 10.567%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Farense (home)

Corners for6.2
Corners against4.7

Sporting CP (away)

Corners for5.4
Corners against3.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Farense
8 5 14 19 9
Sporting CP
6 8 11 8 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.585%
Under 2.515%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Farense (home)

For2.7

Sporting CP (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Farense — total shots (home)12.9
Sporting CP — total shots (away)17.8

Shots on Target

Farense — on target (home)3.4
Sporting CP — on target (away)6.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Farense

Inside the box6.65
Outside the box4.68

Sporting CP

Inside the box12.56
Outside the box5.79

Player Shots Farense

Y. Njie
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target7%
M. Belloumi
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target67%
Rony Lopes
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target21%
Darío Poveda
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target5%
Tómané
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Sporting CP

V. Gyökeres
Shots on Target/Game2.8
+0.5 On Target88%
+1.5 On Target70%
C. Harder
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target14%
Trincão
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target29%
M. Hjulmand
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target4%
Pote
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Farense xG (home)0.9
Sporting CP xG (away)2.14

Average Possession

40.79% Possession 60.44%

Team Comparison Farense vs Sporting CP

71.71% Pass accuracy 87.03%
293.85 Passes per match 520.47
0.28 Goals prevented -0.26
15.21 Fouls committed 11.5
3.09 Goalkeeper saves 1.41
1.97 Offsides 1.16
17.56 Tackles per match 16

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Farense vs Sporting CP prediction analysis

Review Farense vs Sporting CP with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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