Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Farense vs Torreense

Farense vs Torreense prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Segunda Liga 2026-08-09 15:00
Farense
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Away Win
Pick
Torreense
Probability
44%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Torreense
Away

Prediction Summary

1
26%
X
30%
2
44%
Under 2.5
66%
BTTS No
60%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Farense (Home)

Goals scored / match0.83
Goals conceded / match1.17
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate33%

Torreense (Away)

Goals scored / match1.24
Goals conceded / match0.88
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate24%

Team Form last 5 matches

Farense
DWLDW
Torreense
WWWDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

44% +0.5 53%
28% +1.5 41%
6% +2.5 29%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
33% BTTS 24%

Model Insight

The selected market is Away Win with a probability of 44%. Model confidence is Medium.

Farense averages 0.83 goals scored at home, while Torreense averages 1.24 goals scored away.

Model Strength
66%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
26%
Draw
30%
Away Win
44%
Over 2.5
34%
BTTS Yes
40%

Head-to-Head last 4

Jan 2026 Farense(A) 1 - 2 Torreense Away
Aug 2025 Farense 0 - 3 Torreense Away
Jan 2023 Farense(A) 0 - 1 Torreense Away
Aug 2022 Farense 2 - 1 Torreense Home

In the last 4 meetings, Farense won 1, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Farense — unbeaten run (home)4
Farense — scoring streak (home)2
Torreense — winless run (away)0
Torreense — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Farense Win (1)26%
Draw (X)30%
Torreense Win (2)44%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

44% +0.5 53%
28% +1.5 41%
6% +2.5 29%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

56% -0.5 47%
72% -1.5 59%
94% -2.5 71%
94% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Farense vs Torreense — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Farense — scored (home)0.83
Farense — conceded (home)1.17
Torreense — scored (away)1.24
Torreense — conceded (away)0.88
Model expected combined goals2.06

Both Teams To Score

Yes40%
No60%

Rate per Team

Farense — BTTS matches (home)33%
Torreense — BTTS matches (away)24%
Combined (simple average)28.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.551%
Under 9.549%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Farense (home)

Corners for5.8
Corners against4.8

Torreense (away)

Corners for5.8
Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Farense
0 0 0 0 0
Torreense
6 0 0 0 0

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.591%
Under 2.59%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Farense (home)

For3.6

Torreense (away)

For2.8

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.542%
Under 19.558%
Over 22.532%
Under 22.568%
Over 25.525%
Under 25.575%
Expected total shots19.26

Farense

Shots Over 9.547%
Shots Over 11.535%
Shots Over 13.525%
Expected shots10.13
On Target Over 3.548%
On Target Over 4.533%
On Target Over 5.520%
Expected on target3.73

Torreense

Shots Over 9.540%
Shots Over 11.529%
Shots Over 13.520%
Expected shots9.13
On Target Over 3.538%
On Target Over 4.524%
On Target Over 5.513%
Expected on target3.18

Shots per Game

Farense — total shots (home)9.4
Torreense — total shots (away)11.4

Shots on Target

Farense — on target (home)3.2
Torreense — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Farense

Inside the box5.78
Outside the box4.11

Torreense

Inside the box7.5
Outside the box5.13

Player Shots Farense

Rui Costa
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Cláudio Falcão
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target0%
Bruno Almeida
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
A. Carter
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%
Rúben Fernandes
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Torreense

Javi Vázquez
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
I. Seydi
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
K. Zohi
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%
D. Jean
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target33%
M. Drammeh
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Farense xG (home)0
Torreense xG (away)0

Average Possession

48.89% Possession 46%

Team Comparison Farense vs Torreense

78.07% Pass accuracy 78%
323.44 Passes per match 338.63
0 Goals prevented 0
16 Fouls committed 11.88
3 Goalkeeper saves 3.25
2 Offsides 2.38
15.4 Tackles per match 14.25
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Farense vs Torreense prediction analysis

Review Farense vs Torreense with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Segunda Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Segunda Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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