Prediction Analysis: Fatih Karagümrük vs Ümraniyespor
Fatih Karagümrük vs Ümraniyespor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
1. Lig
2026-08-16
16:00
Fatih Karagümrük
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
45%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Ümraniyespor
Away
Prediction Summary
1
53%
X
25%
2
22%
Under 2.5
55%
BTTS No
53%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Fatih Karagümrük (Home)
Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%
Ümraniyespor (Away)
Goals scored / match0.79
Goals conceded / match1.42
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate37%
Team Form last 5 matches
Ümraniyespor
LWLDW
Goals Comparison rate per team
0%
+0.5
53%
0%
+1.5
21%
0%
+2.5
5%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
0%
BTTS
37%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 45%. Model confidence is Medium.
Fatih Karagümrük averages 0 goals scored at home, while Ümraniyespor averages 0.79 goals scored away.
Model Strength
55%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
53%
Draw
25%
Away Win
22%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
Head-to-Head last 5
Feb 2025
Fatih Karagümrük
1 - 0
Ümraniyespor
Home
Dec 2024
Fatih Karagümrük(A)
2 - 1
Ümraniyespor
Home
Aug 2024
Fatih Karagümrük(A)
2 - 2
Ümraniyespor
Draw
Apr 2023
Fatih Karagümrük
4 - 2
Ümraniyespor
Home
Oct 2022
Fatih Karagümrük(A)
3 - 1
Ümraniyespor
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Fatih Karagümrük won 4, drew 1 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Ümraniyespor — winless run (away)0
Ümraniyespor — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Fatih Karagümrük Win (1)53%
Draw (X)25%
Ümraniyespor Win (2)22%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
0%
+0.5
53%
0%
+1.5
21%
0%
+2.5
5%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
100%
-0.5
47%
100%
-1.5
79%
100%
-2.5
95%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Fatih Karagümrük vs Ümraniyespor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Fatih Karagümrük — scored (home)0
Fatih Karagümrük — conceded (home)0
Ümraniyespor — scored (away)0.79
Ümraniyespor — conceded (away)1.42
Model expected combined goals2.47
Both Teams To Score
Yes47%
No53%
Rate per Team
Fatih Karagümrük — BTTS matches (home)0%
Ümraniyespor — BTTS matches (away)37%
Combined (simple average)18.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.548%
Under 8.552%
Over 9.538%
Under 9.562%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (model prediction)8.70
Per-Team Corners own matches
Fatih Karagümrük (home)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Ümraniyespor (away)
Corners for4.1
Corners against5.3
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Ümraniyespor
8
14
7
14
8
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.545%
Under 1.555%
Over 2.537%
Under 2.563%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3
Yellow Cards per Team
Fatih Karagümrük (home)
For—
Ümraniyespor (away)
For2.1
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.561%
Under 19.539%
Over 22.547%
Under 22.553%
Over 25.534%
Under 25.566%
Expected total shots22.74
Fatih Karagümrük
Shots Over 9.570%
Shots Over 11.555%
Shots Over 13.541%
Expected shots12.82
On Target Over 3.564%
On Target Over 4.549%
On Target Over 5.536%
Expected on target4.84
Ümraniyespor
Shots Over 9.549%
Shots Over 11.533%
Shots Over 13.520%
Expected shots9.92
On Target Over 3.546%
On Target Over 4.531%
On Target Over 5.520%
Expected on target3.64
Shots per Game
Fatih Karagümrük — total shots (home)—
Ümraniyespor — total shots (away)8.9
Shots on Target
Fatih Karagümrük — on target (home)—
Ümraniyespor — on target (away)3.2
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Fatih Karagümrük
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Ümraniyespor
Inside the box6.03
Outside the box3.97
Player Shots Fatih Karagümrük
Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.
Player Shots Ümraniyespor
B. Çelik
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target24%
C. Soukou
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target9%
J. Bardhi
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
Benny
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target20%
E. Kaplan
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target7%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Fatih Karagümrük xG (home)-
Ümraniyespor xG (away)1.27
Average Possession
-%
Possession
47.08%
Team Comparison Fatih Karagümrük vs Ümraniyespor
0%
Pass accuracy
79.97%
-
Passes per match
386.84
-
Goals prevented
0
-
Fouls committed
10.42
-
Goalkeeper saves
3.08
-
Offsides
1.59
-
Tackles per match
14.54
League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Fatih Karagümrük vs Ümraniyespor prediction analysis
Review Fatih Karagümrük vs Ümraniyespor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights