Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Aarau vs Neuchatel Xamax FC

FC Aarau vs Neuchatel Xamax FC prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Challenge League 2026-08-28 18:15
FC Aarau
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Neuchatel Xamax FC
Away

Prediction Summary

1
56%
X
22%
2
22%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

FC Aarau (Home)

Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match0.89
Over 2.5 rate22%
BTTS rate44%

Neuchatel Xamax FC (Away)

Goals scored / match1.33
Goals conceded / match1.83
Over 2.5 rate22%
BTTS rate56%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Aarau
LDWWW
Neuchatel Xamax FC
WLWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

94% +0.5 61%
61% +1.5 39%
22% +2.5 22%
11% +3.5 6%
11% +4.5 6%
44% BTTS 56%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

FC Aarau averages 2 goals scored at home, while Neuchatel Xamax FC averages 1.33 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
56%
Draw
22%
Away Win
22%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
57%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 FC Aarau(A) 3 - 1 Neuchatel Xamax FC Home
Mar 2026 FC Aarau 1 - 0 Neuchatel Xamax FC Home
Nov 2025 FC Aarau(A) 2 - 1 Neuchatel Xamax FC Home
Aug 2025 FC Aarau 2 - 0 Neuchatel Xamax FC Home
Apr 2025 FC Aarau(A) 1 - 1 Neuchatel Xamax FC Draw

In the last 5 meetings, FC Aarau won 4, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

FC Aarau — unbeaten run (home)3
FC Aarau — scoring streak (home)10
Neuchatel Xamax FC — winless run (away)1
Neuchatel Xamax FC — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Aarau Win (1)56%
Draw (X)22%
Neuchatel Xamax FC Win (2)22%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

94% +0.5 61%
61% +1.5 39%
22% +2.5 22%
11% +3.5 6%
11% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

6% -0.5 39%
39% -1.5 61%
78% -2.5 78%
89% -3.5 94%
89% -4.5 94%

FC Aarau vs Neuchatel Xamax FC — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Aarau — scored (home)2
FC Aarau — conceded (home)0.89
Neuchatel Xamax FC — scored (away)1.33
Neuchatel Xamax FC — conceded (away)1.83
Model expected combined goals3.03

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%
No43%

Rate per Team

FC Aarau — BTTS matches (home)44%
Neuchatel Xamax FC — BTTS matches (away)56%
Combined (simple average)50%
Corners data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Aarau (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Neuchatel Xamax FC (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

No recent match dataCorners statistics were not available for recent matches.
Cards data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Aarau (home)

For—

Neuchatel Xamax FC (away)

For—

Shots per Game

FC Aarau — total shots (home)—
Neuchatel Xamax FC — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

FC Aarau — on target (home)—
Neuchatel Xamax FC — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Aarau

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Neuchatel Xamax FC

Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.

Average Possession

-% Possession -%

Team Comparison FC Aarau vs Neuchatel Xamax FC

0% Pass accuracy 0%
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Aarau vs Neuchatel Xamax FC prediction analysis

Review FC Aarau vs Neuchatel Xamax FC with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Challenge League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Challenge League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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