Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais

FC Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Challenge League 2026-08-07 18:15
FC Aarau
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Home Win
Pick
FC Aarau
Probability
65%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Stade Nyonnais
Away

Prediction Summary

1
65%
X
22%
2
13%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS No
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

FC Aarau (Home)

Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match0.89
Over 2.5 rate22%
BTTS rate44%

Stade Nyonnais (Away)

Goals scored / match0.53
Goals conceded / match1.74
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate37%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Aarau
LDWWW
Stade Nyonnais
LLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

94% +0.5 42%
61% +1.5 5%
22% +2.5 5%
11% +3.5 0%
11% +4.5 0%
44% BTTS 37%

Model Insight

The selected market is Home Win with a probability of 65%. Model confidence is Medium.

FC Aarau averages 2 goals scored at home, while Stade Nyonnais averages 0.53 goals scored away.

Model Strength
65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
65%
Draw
22%
Away Win
13%
Over 2.5
48%
BTTS Yes
43%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 FC Aarau 5 - 1 Stade Nyonnais Home
Feb 2026 FC Aarau(A) 1 - 1 Stade Nyonnais Draw
Nov 2025 FC Aarau 0 - 1 Stade Nyonnais Away
Aug 2025 FC Aarau(A) 5 - 4 Stade Nyonnais Home
May 2025 FC Aarau 1 - 1 Stade Nyonnais Draw

In the last 5 meetings, FC Aarau won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

FC Aarau — unbeaten run (home)3
FC Aarau — scoring streak (home)10
Stade Nyonnais — winless run (away)12
Stade Nyonnais — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Aarau Win (1)65%
Draw (X)22%
Stade Nyonnais Win (2)13%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

94% +0.5 42%
61% +1.5 5%
22% +2.5 5%
11% +3.5 0%
11% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

6% -0.5 58%
39% -1.5 95%
78% -2.5 95%
89% -3.5 100%
89% -4.5 100%

FC Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Aarau — scored (home)2
FC Aarau — conceded (home)0.89
Stade Nyonnais — scored (away)0.53
Stade Nyonnais — conceded (away)1.74
Model expected combined goals2.58

Both Teams To Score

Yes43%
No57%

Rate per Team

FC Aarau — BTTS matches (home)44%
Stade Nyonnais — BTTS matches (away)37%
Combined (simple average)40.5%
Corners data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Aarau (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Stade Nyonnais (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

No recent match dataCorners statistics were not available for recent matches.
Cards data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Aarau (home)

For—

Stade Nyonnais (away)

For—

Shots per Game

FC Aarau — total shots (home)—
Stade Nyonnais — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

FC Aarau — on target (home)—
Stade Nyonnais — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Aarau

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Stade Nyonnais

Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.

Average Possession

-% Possession -%

Team Comparison FC Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais

0% Pass accuracy 0%
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais prediction analysis

Review FC Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Challenge League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Challenge League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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