Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Andorra vs AD Ceuta FC

FC Andorra vs AD Ceuta FC prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Segunda División 2026-08-16 15:00
FC Andorra
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
AD Ceuta FC
Away

Prediction Summary

1
50%
X
24%
2
26%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

FC Andorra (Home)

Goals scored / match1.48
Goals conceded / match1.19
Over 2.5 rate19%
BTTS rate62%

AD Ceuta FC (Away)

Goals scored / match1.1
Goals conceded / match1.9
Over 2.5 rate10%
BTTS rate52%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Andorra
LLLWL
AD Ceuta FC
WWLDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 67%
29% +1.5 33%
19% +2.5 10%
10% +3.5 0%
10% +4.5 0%
62% BTTS 52%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

FC Andorra averages 1.48 goals scored at home, while AD Ceuta FC averages 1.1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
50%
Draw
24%
Away Win
26%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
56%

Head-to-Head last 2

May 2026 FC Andorra 0 - 2 AD Ceuta FC Away
Jan 2026 FC Andorra(A) 1 - 2 AD Ceuta FC Away

In the last 2 meetings, FC Andorra won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

FC Andorra — unbeaten run (home)0
FC Andorra — scoring streak (home)0
AD Ceuta FC — winless run (away)0
AD Ceuta FC — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Andorra Win (1)50%
Draw (X)24%
AD Ceuta FC Win (2)26%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 67%
29% +1.5 33%
19% +2.5 10%
10% +3.5 0%
10% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 33%
71% -1.5 67%
81% -2.5 90%
90% -3.5 100%
90% -4.5 100%

FC Andorra vs AD Ceuta FC — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Andorra — scored (home)1.48
FC Andorra — conceded (home)1.19
AD Ceuta FC — scored (away)1.1
AD Ceuta FC — conceded (away)1.9
Model expected combined goals2.83

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%
No44%

Rate per Team

FC Andorra — BTTS matches (home)62%
AD Ceuta FC — BTTS matches (away)52%
Combined (simple average)57%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Andorra (home)

Corners for5.6
Corners against3.0

AD Ceuta FC (away)

Corners for3.2
Corners against5.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Andorra
8 7 3 2 4
AD Ceuta FC
8 12 6 2 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.593%
Under 1.57%
Over 2.593%
Under 2.57%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.4

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Andorra (home)

For2.6

AD Ceuta FC (away)

For2.5

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.570%
Under 19.530%
Over 22.555%
Under 22.545%
Over 25.539%
Under 25.561%
Expected total shots24.04

FC Andorra

Shots Over 9.584%
Shots Over 11.570%
Shots Over 13.555%
Expected shots14.62
On Target Over 3.571%
On Target Over 4.555%
On Target Over 5.540%
Expected on target5.09

AD Ceuta FC

Shots Over 9.546%
Shots Over 11.527%
Shots Over 13.514%
Expected shots9.42
On Target Over 3.539%
On Target Over 4.522%
On Target Over 5.512%
Expected on target3.16

Shots per Game

FC Andorra — total shots (home)15.9
AD Ceuta FC — total shots (away)9.2

Shots on Target

FC Andorra — on target (home)5.0
AD Ceuta FC — on target (away)3.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Andorra

Inside the box8.02
Outside the box6.36

AD Ceuta FC

Inside the box7.07
Outside the box3.45

Player Shots FC Andorra

Yeray Cabanzón
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target24%
Josep Cerdà
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target17%
Minsu Kim
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target15%
Marc Cardona
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target22%
Aingeru Olabarrieta
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots AD Ceuta FC

Marcos Fernández
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target29%
Cristian Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target7%
Carlos Hernández
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target3%
Diego González
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target9%
+1.5 On Target3%
Jamelli
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Andorra xG (home)1.35
AD Ceuta FC xG (away)1.17

Average Possession

60.79% Possession 50.67%

Team Comparison FC Andorra vs AD Ceuta FC

86.11% Pass accuracy 76.16%
502.98 Passes per match 393.24
0 Goals prevented 0
13.31 Fouls committed 13.98
3.12 Goalkeeper saves 3.33
2.13 Offsides 1.76
15.45 Tackles per match 15.71

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Andorra vs AD Ceuta FC prediction analysis

Review FC Andorra vs AD Ceuta FC with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Segunda División.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Segunda División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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