Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen

FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2025-12-06 14:30
FC Augsburg
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
78%
Confidence
High
Score
1-2
Bayer Leverkusen
Away

Prediction Summary

1
26%
X
19%
2
55%
Over 2.5
78%
BTTS Yes
74%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

FC Augsburg (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate59%

Bayer Leverkusen (Away)

Goals scored / match1.76
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate41%
BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Augsburg
LWWDW
Bayer Leverkusen
DLWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

82% +0.5 76%
53% +1.5 53%
12% +2.5 41%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%
59% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 78%. Model confidence is High.

FC Augsburg averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Bayer Leverkusen averages 1.76 goals scored away.

Model Strength
78%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
26%
Draw
19%
Away Win
55%
Over 2.5
78%
BTTS Yes
74%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 FC Augsburg(A) 2 - 1 Bayer Leverkusen Home
Dec 2025 FC Augsburg 2 - 0 Bayer Leverkusen Home
Apr 2025 FC Augsburg(A) 0 - 2 Bayer Leverkusen Away
Dec 2024 FC Augsburg 0 - 2 Bayer Leverkusen Away
May 2024 FC Augsburg(A) 1 - 2 Bayer Leverkusen Away

In the last 5 meetings, FC Augsburg won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

FC Augsburg — unbeaten run (home)3
FC Augsburg — scoring streak (home)9
Bayer Leverkusen — winless run (away)1
Bayer Leverkusen — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Augsburg Win (1)26%
Draw (X)19%
Bayer Leverkusen Win (2)55%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

82% +0.5 76%
53% +1.5 53%
12% +2.5 41%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

18% -0.5 24%
47% -1.5 47%
88% -2.5 59%
100% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 100%

FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Augsburg — scored (home)1.47
FC Augsburg — conceded (home)1.65
Bayer Leverkusen — scored (away)1.76
Bayer Leverkusen — conceded (away)1.65
Model expected combined goals4.13

Both Teams To Score

Yes74%
No26%

Rate per Team

FC Augsburg — BTTS matches (home)59%
Bayer Leverkusen — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)62%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.585%
Under 6.515%
Over 7.568%
Under 7.532%
Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Augsburg (home)

Corners for5.2
Corners against5.2

Bayer Leverkusen (away)

Corners for4.5
Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Augsburg
15 16 10 5 13
Bayer Leverkusen
15 7 10 13 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.591%
Under 2.59%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Augsburg (home)

For2.5

Bayer Leverkusen (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

FC Augsburg — total shots (home)13.2
Bayer Leverkusen — total shots (away)11.7

Shots on Target

FC Augsburg — on target (home)5.1
Bayer Leverkusen — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Augsburg

Inside the box8.47
Outside the box4.71

Bayer Leverkusen

Inside the box9.79
Outside the box5.38

Player Shots FC Augsburg

A. Claude-Maurice
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target24%
A. Kade
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target21%
M. Gregoritsch
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target12%
M. Kömür
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target14%
Rodrigo Ribeiro
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Bayer Leverkusen

P. Schick
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target46%
Álex Grimaldo
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target17%
Christian Kofane
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target21%
I. Maza
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target21%
N. Tella
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Augsburg xG (home)1.37
Bayer Leverkusen xG (away)1.93

Average Possession

43.97% Possession 59.18%

Team Comparison FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen

78.29% Pass accuracy 87.68%
392.06 Passes per match 605.44
0.07 Goals prevented 0.16
11.03 Fouls committed 8.59
3.12 Goalkeeper saves 3.53
2.18 Offsides 1.34
15.88 Tackles per match 14.06

League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction analysis

Review FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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