Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Augsburg vs Borussia Dortmund

FC Augsburg vs Borussia Dortmund prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2025-10-31 19:30
FC Augsburg
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
78%
Confidence
High
Score
1-2
Borussia Dortmund
Away

Prediction Summary

1
17%
X
17%
2
66%
Over 2.5
78%
BTTS Yes
70%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

FC Augsburg (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate59%

Borussia Dortmund (Away)

Goals scored / match1.76
Goals conceded / match1.06
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate59%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Augsburg
LWWDW
Borussia Dortmund
WWLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

82% +0.5 94%
53% +1.5 65%
12% +2.5 18%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
59% BTTS 59%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 78%. Model confidence is High.

FC Augsburg averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Borussia Dortmund averages 1.76 goals scored away.

Model Strength
78%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
17%
Draw
17%
Away Win
66%
Over 2.5
78%
BTTS Yes
70%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 FC Augsburg(A) 0 - 2 Borussia Dortmund Away
Oct 2025 FC Augsburg 0 - 1 Borussia Dortmund Away
Mar 2025 FC Augsburg(A) 1 - 0 Borussia Dortmund Home
Oct 2024 FC Augsburg 2 - 1 Borussia Dortmund Home
May 2024 FC Augsburg(A) 1 - 5 Borussia Dortmund Away

In the last 5 meetings, FC Augsburg won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

FC Augsburg — unbeaten run (home)3
FC Augsburg — scoring streak (home)9
Borussia Dortmund — winless run (away)0
Borussia Dortmund — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Augsburg Win (1)17%
Draw (X)17%
Borussia Dortmund Win (2)66%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

82% +0.5 94%
53% +1.5 65%
12% +2.5 18%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

18% -0.5 6%
47% -1.5 35%
88% -2.5 82%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

FC Augsburg vs Borussia Dortmund — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Augsburg — scored (home)1.47
FC Augsburg — conceded (home)1.65
Borussia Dortmund — scored (away)1.76
Borussia Dortmund — conceded (away)1.06
Model expected combined goals4.13

Both Teams To Score

Yes70%
No30%

Rate per Team

FC Augsburg — BTTS matches (home)59%
Borussia Dortmund — BTTS matches (away)59%
Combined (simple average)59%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.591%
Under 5.59%
Over 6.585%
Under 6.515%
Over 7.559%
Under 7.541%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.539%
Under 9.561%
Over 10.536%
Under 10.564%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Augsburg (home)

Corners for5.2
Corners against5.2

Borussia Dortmund (away)

Corners for3.4
Corners against5.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Augsburg
15 16 10 5 13
Borussia Dortmund
7 5 2 8 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.583%
Under 2.517%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Augsburg (home)

For2.5

Borussia Dortmund (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

FC Augsburg — total shots (home)13.2
Borussia Dortmund — total shots (away)11.4

Shots on Target

FC Augsburg — on target (home)5.1
Borussia Dortmund — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Augsburg

Inside the box8.47
Outside the box4.71

Borussia Dortmund

Inside the box9.68
Outside the box3.38

Player Shots FC Augsburg

A. Claude-Maurice
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target24%
A. Kade
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target21%
M. Gregoritsch
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target12%
M. Kömür
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target14%
Rodrigo Ribeiro
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Borussia Dortmund

S. Guirassy
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target27%
S. Inacio
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Beier
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target19%
J. Brandt
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target14%
K. Adeyemi
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Augsburg xG (home)1.37
Borussia Dortmund xG (away)1.88

Average Possession

43.97% Possession 53.24%

Team Comparison FC Augsburg vs Borussia Dortmund

78.29% Pass accuracy 83.21%
392.06 Passes per match 493.21
0.07 Goals prevented 0.14
11.03 Fouls committed 11.71
3.12 Goalkeeper saves 2.62
2.18 Offsides 1.18
15.88 Tackles per match 14.44

League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Augsburg vs Borussia Dortmund prediction analysis

Review FC Augsburg vs Borussia Dortmund with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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